April 9, 2023 is Sunday. Yuan Sheng and Zhang Sheng’s family went to Lianshan Country Park in Pengshi to play... ................................................................. ................................................................. ....................................................
After entering the park, it was a climb all the way. Zhang Sheng: Yuan Sheng, do you predict how the 10 main board registration IPOs will go tomorrow?
Yuan Sheng: There is nothing new under the sun, only constant repetition. Let’s first take a look at the first batch of 28 new stocks listed on the GEM in 2009 and the first batch of 25 new stocks listed on the Science and Technology Innovation Board in 2019, August 24, 2020 On the same day, the GEM officially implemented the registration system, and the first batch of 18 companies went public that day. Let’s take a look at these three batches of collectively listed new stocks and see their overall profitability.
Let’s first talk about the first batch of 28 GEM companies in 2009. The main force chose the No. 101 stock as the leading stock. It did not show the strength or the water. It was definitely the main force that made a surprise move, which made most people choose wrongly. I chose it that year. A new stock with the best fundamentals, I bought it with a full position at the opening, but ended up exiting the battle with a loss of 8%.
Yuan Sheng continued: In 2019, there were 25 new stocks listed on the Science and Technology Innovation Board in the first batch. I used a comprehensive approach to select and buy 4 of the new stocks. It was later discovered that these 4 new stocks were the 4 that had the strongest gains in the initial stage of listing.
Yuan Sheng continued: On August 24, 2020, the first batch of 18 new companies listed on the GEM registration system was launched. I chose to buy 3 new stocks and made a lot of money on all 3 of them. Among them, I bought the new stock with the second largest money-making effect. Late, more than doubled? Would you say it's fierce or not?
Zhang Sheng: Yuansheng, you have participated in this kind of collective listing of stocks three times. Each time you have more experience and more considerable profits.
Yuan Sheng: People always have to evolve and adapt to changes in the stock market...
Yuansheng: On October 30, 2009, the first batch of 28 GEM stocks were released. On this day, the total transaction volume of Shanghai and Shenzhen stocks was 219.7 billion yuan, which means that the daily transaction volume of A shares in 2009 was about 200 billion yuan. On this day, if you buy stock No. 01 (new stock) at the lowest price and sell it at the high price the next day, you will make about 82% of the profit. If you choose the wrong stock (new stock) and wait for 2-3 days, you will most likely lose 10-40%, which is equivalent to choosing the right or wrong. In 2-3 days, the correct person will earn 110% more than the wrong person.
Zhang Sheng: The gap is so big! The stock market is really a good place to reflect stock picking skills! It is the fastest place to realize knowledge.
Yuansheng: Let’s take a look at the total transaction volume of A-shares on July 22, 2009: 941.4 billion yuan, which means that in 2009, A-share transactions were basically around 900 billion yuan every day. Take a look at the 25 new stocks listed on the Science and Technology Innovation Board on this day. How much can the best-performing ones earn if they stay overnight? Buy stock No. 201 at a low price on the first day and sell it at a high price on the second day and earn 80%.
Yuan Sheng continued: If you buy the first batch of new stocks on the Science and Technology Innovation Board at the opening of the market on the first day, one of the new stocks opened at 67.30 yuan. After the opening, it fell to 33.53 yuan in less than an hour, a drop of more than 50%. Isn’t it terrible? If you buy the stock at the opening on the first day and stop loss at the opening on the second day, you will lose 39.37%. If you make correct stock selection and operation, you will earn 80% in one night, while if you make mistakes, you will lose 39.37%. The difference between the two is 119.37%.
There is also a large-cap new stock. After the market opened, it first fell by 30% (calculated from the opening price) and was suspended for 10 minutes. After trading resumed, it continued to fall, and then reversed in a V-shape and then surged... ..
Among this batch of 25 new stocks, stock No. 202, with the smallest market capitalization, had a lowest price of 38.42 yuan on the first day. It rose to 162.08 yuan in 18 days, an increase of 4.23 times.
Zhang Sheng: This batch of stocks has been really ups and downs, it’s so exciting.
Yuansheng: Let’s take a look at the first batch of 18 stocks listed on the GEM registration system on August 24, 2020. The most popular stock in this batch, No. 301, opened at 55 yuan. If you buy it at the lowest price of 50.08 yuan on the first day and sell it at the highest price of 149.80 yuan on the second day, you will earn 2.99 times. If stock No. 302 is bought at the opening on the first day and the loss is stopped at the opening on the second day, the loss will be 13%.
Compare this: with correct stock selection and operation, the maximum profit can reach 299%, while with incorrect stock selection, you will lose 13%. The difference between the two is 312%.
Zhang Sheng: I really don’t know anything about it. I’m shocked when I compare it. In the stock market, the gap between correct and incorrect stock selection (operation) is really huge, wider than any industry! The stock market is really a condensed life!
Yuan Sheng: In 2009, because the daily trading volume of A-shares was only about 200 billion yuan, there were not many popular stocks. After 2019, the daily trading volume of A-shares has reached around 900 billion yuan (the trading volume on August 24, 2020 was 897.1 billion yuan). With such a large trading volume, it is too easy to create a few bull stocks.
Zhang Sheng: In these three centralized listings, what is the main idea of stock selection in each case?
Yuan Sheng: This time when the GEM opened in 2009, the main force adopted a surprise strategy. They bought low on the first day and sold high on the second day. They earned 82% by holding on for one night. This is a most inconspicuous new stock. This batch of 28 new stocks, the most popular stock No. 102, was bought at the lowest price on the first day, and the profit was 3.38 times after holding on for 21 days. This time, I failed to judge the main force's thinking and ended in failure.
This time when the Science and Technology Innovation Board was launched in 2019, the main force adopted the idea of superimposing high technology with small caps... This time I judged the main force's idea and won a big victory.
This time around the GEM registration system in August 2020, the main force adopted the idea of superimposing high growth (stock No. 301 earning 2.99 times in one night, net profit increased by 731% in 2020) and small caps... ..This time, I judged the main force’s thinking and won a great victory.
Tomorrow (April 10, 2023), 10 new stocks will be registered on the main board. What ideas will the main force adopt? My prediction should be **, **, ** (there is a high probability that these 6 words are inseparable, and the main force will definitely fight around these 6 words). These six words are a trap. People who write novels must fill in any traps. I estimate that after 3-6 days, I will be able to fill in the gaps (at that time, you will know what these 6 characters are? One character is worth a thousand pieces of gold!)
Zhang Sheng: Yuansheng, after communicating with you, I understand better: knowledge is money!
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In the afternoon, Yuan Sheng and Zhang Sheng drove home... exciting stocks are waiting for them tomorrow...
PS: (Stocks No. 101 to No. 302, will be decrypted tomorrow)
