February 25, 2023 was a Saturday. Yuan Sheng and Zhang Sheng’s families went to Pengshi Star Paradise to play. Pengshi is one of the most developed cities in China. There are many places suitable for children to play. Yuan Sheng watched his children playing and wanted to take the stock market exam... ..
"Crazy" is currently the most popular TV series in China.
After watching the TV series, some people concluded that the kind of people you associate with will determine the kind of person you become; entering different circles will lead to a different life.
The life experience of Lao Mo in "Crazy" is very enlightening: Lao Mo was helped by An Xin and had a chance to become a good person.
Unfortunately, the good guy An Xin was not the first person he met after being released from prison.
But Gao Qiqiang and Tang Xiaohu.
Lao Mo actually wanted to live happily in An Xin, so he went to find An Xin specifically.
But by some strange coincidence, I didn't see it.
In the end, under the calculations of Tang Xiaohu and Gao Qiqiang, they embarked on the road of crime...
In the stock market, it's the same. You choose different stocks, which determines different outcomes: for example, you can buy CATL at around 70 yuan on June 22, 2018.
However, until the closing price on November 21, 2019, it was still 77.15 yuan. During these 17 months, CATL has been fluctuating between 61 yuan and 95 yuan, with most of the time fluctuating between 61 and 75 yuan. It can be said that choosing Ningde Times during this time period is medium luck; people with high luck should choose stocks that continue to rise during this time period (of course, 99% of people cannot choose such stocks); people with low luck should choose stocks that continue to rise during this time period. People should have chosen stocks that continue to fall and hit new lows.
Starting from November 22, 2019, CATL has embarked on its long journey of big gains and small rebounds! Starting from 77.15 yuan, it rose to 692 yuan on December 3, 2021, an increase of nearly 8 times, and it only took 2 years and 11 days. In a word: In these two years, your choice to buy CATL is correct! All are winners. This is the importance of stock selection, which ranks first.
Let's look at BYD's situation during the same time period: the closing price on November 21, 2019 was 43.62 yuan, and by December 3, 2021, it was 309.80 yuan, an increase of 6.1 times.
It can increase 6.1 times in 2 years, which is also a big bull stock. Being able to choose such a stock is also a correct stock selection.
Why have these two stocks increased 6-8 times in the past two years? Why didn't they rise sharply before? There won’t be any big increases in the future?
After long-term research in economics, we have found that it is very difficult for emerging industries to go from 0 to 1%, and it is also difficult to make money. At this stage, there are very few companies participating.
The stage from 1% to 20% is the easiest to make money, and it is also a process that countless companies must participate in. CATL and BYD are both new energy concept stocks. To be honest, the initial stage of new energy vehicles is from 0 to 1, and no one cares about it.
Starting from 2019, the market share of new energy vehicles has begun a process from 1% to 20%. This process is the most exciting, and the reflection in the stock market is the rapid increase in stock prices! Whoever buys makes money! And make money fast.
Understand this, and you also understand the reason why they have soared.
Therefore, the same is true in the stock market. New energy concept stocks (especially lithium stocks), riding on the trend of new energy vehicles from 1% to 20%, have risen 10-30 times in a few years. In the future, they will ........
In the past few years, some people have been investing in new energy concept stocks for 2-3 years and have made huge profits. If they continue to invest in new energy concept stocks now, the outcome is hard to say.
Zhang Sheng asked: What kind of stocks are easy to be speculated in the stock market?
Yuansheng: If it is short-term speculation, the first factor is the emerging theme; second, the theme must be attractive and can arouse everyone's interest; third, there must be room for imagination; fourth, it must have a money-making effect. If these four points are met at the same time, the main force and various types of funds will continue to enter and continue to rise.
Zhang Sheng: Yuansheng, you are right. In recent years, A-shares have speculated on the subject of ephedrine. This is the first time that A-shares have appeared, and speculation has been booming. They have also speculated on the subject of artificial meat. This subject This is also the first time that A-shares have appeared... Their short-term speculation has been relatively successful, and those who followed up in time have made money. Of course, in the end, all the hype ends. This is one of the unique characteristics of the stock market: the person who takes the last shot has always been more miserable.
Yuan Sheng went on to say that in the stock market, what institutions like to speculate most are stocks that have both of these characteristics. The first is that the stock price positioning is relatively low, either the stock price or the price-to-earnings ratio is low.
Second, their performance is high-growth, which means that in the next few years, their performance will double year after year. Stocks that can achieve these two points are likely to be the seed players of long-term bull stocks.
Of course, there are many stocks whose net profits grew rapidly before listing. However, after listing, their net profits continued to decline, and finally became a bear stock.
Therefore, it is also difficult to play in the medium and long term, because it is difficult to accurately predict in advance whether its performance will increase significantly or decrease significantly one year later, two years later, or three years later.
You have to hold stocks for 1-3 years. In fact, you have to wait 1-3 years before you know...at that time, whether the stock market is bullish or bearish? At that time, what industries were prosperous? Or is it a recession? At that time, the business was making a lot of money? Or will profits drop significantly? Do we have the ability to see the outcome 1-3 years in advance? Obviously, most people do not have this ability.
Therefore, the longer the term, the more difficult it is to predict accurately!
Zhang Sheng: Yes, if you don’t even have the ability to predict and judge 3-5 days, 3-5 weeks, 3-5 months, you won’t be able to make accurate decisions. Then, it is more difficult and inaccurate to judge the situation in the next 1-3 years. This is common sense, but unfortunately, many people go against common sense in the stock market.
Yuan Sheng: Yes, a certain new stock was in a very popular industry when it was listed, so it opened at 168 yuan on the first day of listing and was traded to 188 yuan in a few days. As a result, 5-6 years later, its performance was the best for several consecutive years. Loss, the stock price was lower than 1 yuan for 20 consecutive days, and the only option was delisting...
"Dad, I'm hungry..." The girl's cry made Yuan Sheng and Zhang Sheng stop chatting and drive home respectively...
