Any team that has experienced fifteen or more wins in the season will inevitably face the interference of negative factors such as personnel loss, energy exhaustion, physical limit, injuries and other negative factors in the subsequent season. The performance of the new season will often appear. Ups and downs are an inevitable phenomenon - this was the case for the New England Patriots in the 2009 season, and the San Francisco 49ers may also face such a dilemma in the 2013 season.
This is a common view in the league, and it is also a view that conforms to the laws of statistics - regression to the mean: once you encounter random success, you will definitely return to the mean. After one year's extraordinary success, most of the performance in the next year will be will return to normal, and is widely applicable to finance-related phenomena.
Sophomore syndrome is true, and so is it after a strong season.
But Spencer made a more interesting point. The New England Patriots did not perform poorly in the 2009 season, but other teams performed better; similarly, the same was true for the Green Bay Packers in the 2012 season. So, in the 2013 season Is this possible for the San Francisco 49ers?
Spencer is still the same Spencer, always able to find patterns and novelties in the numbers, and give his own perspective, "Let's leave the past cases and focus on the San Francisco 49ers for the time being. Their defense The team is facing injuries, and the substitute lineup will also become a hidden danger; their wide receiver team is also facing running-in problems, but..."
Spencer paused slightly, everyone else smiled, and Spencer himself also laughed, "But Trent Baalke's smartest move in the offseason was to keep Lu Ke In the team." As if aware of everyone's complaints, Spencer spread his hands and admitted, "Yes, I still think Lu Ke is the most important part of this team."
"Now Ted Ginn, last year's Chad Hall, Lu Ke has proven his ability. He can exert his ability as a wide receiver through his own command, even if the player's own ability is not outstanding. Now , we should also put more trust in last year's regular season MVP, shouldn't we?" Spencer concluded.
Nick then said, "You mean, you still think the San Francisco 49ers can win, even if Aaron Rodgers is standing opposite them?"
Spencer did not answer directly, but asked, "Why, don't you agree?"
Nick paused for a moment and laughed dumbly, "Yes, I don't agree. But my point of view is slightly different. It's not that I don't trust Lu Ke, but I trust Rogers more. Or maybe, judging from the state of the preseason Look, the Green Bay Packers are now a more trustworthy team. I think the problem with the San Francisco 49ers is not the offense, but the defense. The aging of the defensive fronts and linebackers is really serious..."
"No, no, no, if San Francisco's defensive team is not reliable, then Green Bay's defensive team is even worse. Although San Francisco's defensive team has declined in form and ability this season, it may not be among the top three in the league, but They are still at the level of the top five or seven, and they still have the ability to compete strongly."
"We must note that San Francisco's defense is suffering from injuries. Aldon Smith, last year's best performer, missed almost the entire offseason training..."
The bustling debate began to spread.
In the past two seasons, people have always looked at the San Francisco 49ers with a hint of suspicion, mainly because the cooperation time between Hubble and Lu Ke was too short. Even after achieving a complete winning season, in the Super Bowl showdown, the San Francisco 49ers It still hasn't won the full support of analysts and commentators.
But this year the situation has completely changed. No one regards the San Francisco 49ers as a dark horse anymore. Their outstanding performance for two consecutive seasons is no longer at the level of a "sudden rise". Now everyone recognizes that this team has initially achieved the necessary qualifications. After understanding the foundation of the strong team, the relevant analysis finally became objective.
There is support.
Someone objected.
In head-to-head voting for the opener, the San Francisco 49ers won five votes and the Green Bay Packers also won five votes, a true tie.
Although opinions vary, all analytical commentators agree on one thing:
This will be a duel between quarterbacks, in other words, an offensive battle! Not only because of the "highest salary in the league", the play and performance of the two quarterbacks will be the key to the outcome of the game. This game will undoubtedly be very, very exciting to watch. It couldn't be more appropriate as the season opener. It is definitely worth looking forward to. !
…
"Lu Ke VS Aaron Rogers"!
This is definitely a peak matchup that the entire league and all of North America are eagerly focusing on, especially what kind of performance the two quarterbacks can perform in the first official regular season after both renewing their contracts with the league's highest annual salaries. This is undoubtedly the most interesting and interesting thing. The most intriguing part, from a certain perspective, is even more interesting than the victory or defeat itself——
After all, the outcome is just a regular season game; but the "league's highest annual salary" duel is the first time this season, and it is also a duel between two relatively young quarterbacks, which represents the future of the league, which makes it even more important. Taste it.
Of course, whether the San Francisco 49ers can continue their cross-season winning streak and continue their strength is also one of the important things to watch.
From professionals to amateur netizens, from professional players in other sports to top actors in Hollywood, everyone is discussing this confrontation lively. The topic of "Lu Ke VS Rogers" has been abuzz for more than half a month. All of them They are all warming up for the season opener.
At this time, the two "rivals" were standing on the Candlestick Stadium chatting happily.
"Tell me, if I take away a victory amid such enthusiastic cheers from the audience, will they refuse to let me leave?" Rogers raised his head and looked at the turbulent red sea in front of him. Hearing it is better than seeing it. , only when you really stand on the Candlestick Stadium can you feel this heat wave dancing happily on the surface of the skin.
Looking at Rogers' smiling face, Lu Ke couldn't help but laugh, "Haha. What a beautiful idea. You know, winning at Candlestick Stadium is not that simple."
"Is it easy to win at Lambeau Field?" Rogers complained directly.
Lu Ke spread his hands and said, "It's not easy, but I won." The first game of last year's regular season.
"Ha. Ha." Rogers deliberately laughed dryly twice to express ridicule, then threw the football in his hand, "How about it, does what I said before still count?"
"Of course." Lu Ke nodded gently and said seriously, "Everyone on our team is ready. Remember to have your credit card ready."
After Lu Ke and Rogers completed their contract renewal this year, the two shouted to each other via Twitter. It was originally just a joke, but now it has become a formal bet: the quarterback who loses the game today will pay for the entire opponent's team out of his own pocket. Eating - just imagining the huge stomachs of fifty-three football players makes my wallet hurt.
Although the two quarterbacks are rivals, and the tense atmosphere of confrontation is being exaggerated inside and outside the league, in fact, they have always maintained a peaceful mind. They can't be called friends but they are far from enemies. After the game started, they They are rivals who want to decide the outcome; but outside of the game, they are rivals who cherish each other.
Rogers directly threw the football in his hand to Lu Ke and said with a smile, "Remember to have the check ready. Be careful, we will eat up your latest endorsement contract in one go."
Lu Ke also showed no sign of weakness, "I hope your combat effectiveness on the court can surpass that of the dining table."
Such teasing made Rogers laugh happily, turned around and trotted towards his Green Bay Packers teammates who were warming up.
Lu Ke stood there, his smile slowly calmed down, and he raised his head again to look at the boiling red sea in the audience - he once again opened the season as the defending champion after 18 years, and he also held the league's latest high salary record. For the team led by the leader, the emotions of the nine people began to boil early, and the Candlestick Stadium was packed.
In fact, tickets for the opening game have been hyped to more than fifteen times the original price, but they are still hard to get. Even compared to the Super Bowl, they are not inferior, making people clearly feel the fanaticism of the city of San Francisco. They are ready to embark on a journey to defend their title.
So, Lu Ke also turned around and joined the San Francisco 49ers' warm-up team.
…
This is the third consecutive season that Lu Ke has stood on the court in the season opener as the starting quarterback. Logically speaking, everything should have been very adapted, but his mentality and feelings have once again undergone subtle changes. , somewhat familiar yet still exciting, full of expectation yet still urgent, everything seems familiar yet brand new.
This is another new beginning.
In the coin guessing session that just started, Lu Ke guessed the "word" side and won the right to pick the side. He chose to take the lead in attacking - this is still the game mode of the San Francisco 49ers.
All members of the offensive team formed a circle, including Lu Ke. Lu Ke looked to the left, then to the right, and said loudly, "Everyone says we are doomed." Lu Ke's first This sentence made everyone chuckle, "Because we have reached the peak of perfection last season. Even we ourselves cannot copy it, let alone surpass it. Therefore, the next season can only go downhill." .”
"The entire league says so. Then I guess, we are doomed." Lu Ke's voice was high-pitched and full, starting from gentle and gradually rising, full of passion, "But I don't think so. In the past two seasons, , we have always proved that those so-called rules and curses are just scaring our own inner demons. They don't think I can pass the ball, they don't think we can win, they don't think we can win the championship, but! We did it !We did it all!”
"So, that's still the case now."
"No one can decide our fate! Except ourselves! I'm ready to fight again, who else?"
The first season without a system has officially begun.
