"It's difficult to get off the tiger?" Liu Xin frowned slightly and asked: "You mean the war has already reached that level, and Toyotomi Hideyoshi has boasted too much before, and the results of the negotiations cannot make all Japanese forces, including his own forces, Satisfied, so even if my body can no longer hold on, I still have to continue the war?"
"I think these are all what you said, and I'm afraid there are other reasons besides that." Gao Pingshi said that there were other reasons, but he didn't seem to have completely sorted it out. He slowly pondered: "I think about it when I look back. Think about it, although Toyotomi Hideyoshi was considered a legend in his life, he had at least three major failures in his life."
Liu Xin smiled slightly: "Three major failures? Let me guess first...killing Toyotomi Hideji is probably one of them, right?"
"Of course." Gao pragmatically said: "Killing Toyotomi Hideji is, in my opinion, his third major failure. But there are two points before that, which we have just talked about: first, to seek peace instead of seeking peace. ; The second is to conquer Korea. But in my opinion, these two actually have something in common, that is, they all stem from Toyotomi Hideyoshi's own military deficiencies."
"Toyotomi Hideyoshi, who unified Japan, seems to you to have insufficient military skills?" Liu Xin seemed somewhat surprised.
"Yes, especially the series of recruitments. I originally thought that recruitment was a choice made because Toyotomi Hideyoshi was better at political strategy, but now that I think about it carefully, I feel that these methods may not be a 'choice'. He was actually just forced.”
Liu Xin said: "I would like to hear some high-level opinions."
Gao pragmatically said: "First of all, from Toyotomi Hideyoshi's point of view, the recruitment matter was really done and caused endless disasters. Three of the five elders are foreign daimyo.
The stone height of these five people is 2.56 million stone for Tokugawa, 1.8 million stone for Mori and Ryogawa, and 1.2 million stone for Uesugi. Except for Uesugi, the stone height of any big boss's fiefdom is not much less than that of Toyotomi Hideyoshi himself, and even Tokugawa Ieyasu's stone height is nominally higher than his.
The remaining ones, Ukita and Maeda, are relatively close to the Toyotomi family, so I'll tentatively count them as descendants. But what about the strength of these two people? One is 600,000 stone, and the other is 830,000 stone. Compared with the five elders in size, they are not at the same level at all.
And Hideyoshi handled this matter... well, he was actually very kind. That is, as long as the opponent is willing to recruit troops and all territories remain unchanged, Toyotomi Hideyoshi only needs nominal obedience.
In other words, if the Shimadzu and Hojo families do not provoke him to death, and the Date family does not stand on the fence, then there will be three more foreign powerful vassals with more than 1 million koku. [Note: Gao Pragmatic here refers to the Shimadzu family. The territory of Kyushu that had been conquered at that time was taken into account. The reason for this calculation was that if the Shimazu family accepted Hideyoshi's request and stopped attacking, then according to Hideyoshi's style of doing things, the previous results of the Shimazu family could be retained. ]
Among them, the Tokugawa family was also a big name in the five kingdoms of Mikawa, Enji, Suruga, Kai and Shinano before it was changed. It is estimated that the territory is about 1.5 million koku.
This means that even if the Toyotomi family lineage is preserved without any problems, it is difficult to guarantee that there will be no problems in the future. But if one or two such foreign powerful sects join forces, the Toyotomi family may not be guaranteed to be able to withstand it [Note: The entire Toyotomi family had about 6 million koku before Hideyoshi's death, including Hidetsu's fiefdom, and Hideyoshi's hiding place should be less than 2 million koku], and with the strength of one million koku, being a local snake is not a problem at all. See the case of Oshu Fujiwara clan.
When I watched some related Dahe dramas back then, I regretted that the Western Army lost the Battle of Sekigahara, but now that I think about it, I find it a bit ridiculous. Not to mention that the Western Army had little chance of victory during the Battle of Guanyuan. Taking a step back, even if Guanyuan wins, what are we going to do next? Go to Nagato to open a new Mori shogunate?
Ieyasu was able to perform various operations later on, wasn't it because Hideyoshi Togo gave it to him? But is this because Hideyoshi trusts Ieyasu? Obviously not, just because the two biggest daimyo at that time were Mori and Tokugawa. In comparison, Tokugawa was more trustworthy than Mori. Hideyoshi's behavior was purely the lesser of two evils.
It’s not that Hideyoshi was unaware of this problem. He might also want to support more vassals and daimyo to defend the Toyotomi family. However, as I have mentioned before, the Toyotomi family was already sparsely populated and could not send out more than a few. , and most of other people's territories are blocked.
At the same time, this guy Mitsunari is also a good fighter. During Hojo's conquest, he can besiege a ninja city for a long time. As long as he can achieve some military exploits, he can ask Hideyoshi to grant him more territories and become famous. After Hideyoshi's death, The weight of speech can also be greater.
What's the result? In the end, Hideyoshi came up with a way to give his own people military merit and fiefdom, which was to attack North Korea. The result of this bad idea is obvious: That is a dog with an owner. How can you, Toyotomi Hideyoshi, just beat him casually?
So the final analysis of these things is that Hideyoshi and his core ruling team are not good at military. If he had Nobunaga's level of military capabilities, he wouldn't have to do anything to recruit people. He could just bulldoze all non-direct relatives and establish a centralized government. This situation would definitely be very different.
Although Ieyasu still practiced feudalism, he was much more prudent than him in this aspect. Of course, Ieyasu was not able to completely eradicate it, and it eventually became a disaster that brought down the empire. "
Liu Xin spread her hands: "I'm a little curious. Judging from your introduction, Toyotomi Hideyoshi's military strategy does not seem to be very... outstanding. But at the same time, you also said that the five old systems he instituted were also a failure, and the conquest of Korea was a failure. It can be said that he only saw the benefits of success and did not see the consequences of failure. In addition, the last one was to rashly kill Toyotomi Hideyoshi - doesn't this mean that Toyotomi Hideyoshi was not even good at politics?
By analogy with our China, the end of the Warring States Period and the reunification were achieved. This was an achievement at the level of Qin Shihuang! Considering Toyotomi Hideyoshi's background, he can almost be regarded as Japan's Qin Shihuang. How come it is all a failure according to your analysis? "
"Well, good question." Gao Pragmatic smiled bitterly: "From a national level, giving Hidetoshi his death is definitely a big failure, but as a 'person', this matter cannot be completely blamed on Hideyoshi. But as an individual , Everyone has selfish motives, and Hideyoshi was also old at the time. Who of us can guarantee that in Hideyoshi's position, we can resist our selfish motives and prevent our own son from inheriting?
But this time the problem returned to the old problem, Toyotomi's family had too few children. If Toyotomi Hideyoshi could be like Tokugawa Ieyasu and have more than a dozen sons in his lifetime, then this would not be a problem at all. I can only say that ensuring that you have a healthy body and stable or even sufficient successor candidates is also an important ability for a Warring States daimyo. At this point, Hideyoshi was really blown away by Ieyasu. "
Liu Xin tilted her head and asked, "Then how do you explain Toyotomi Hideyoshi's success?"
Gao pragmatic curled his lips and asked: "What does Jinghua rely on to win southern Xinjiang?"
Liu Xin was stunned: "What do you mean?"
Gao pragmatic smiled and said: "Then let me ask this, what did Jinghua rely on to win Annan?"
Liu Xin said inexplicably: "It relies on the support of Jinghua's wealthy elite servants and chieftain Cen Huang."
"The prerequisite for being an elite servant is actually strong financial resources." Gao Pragmatic corrected him slightly, and then said: "Toyotomi Hideyoshi's ability performance is similar to that before Jinghua captured Annan. It relies on controlling strong commercial financial resources, and then using This serves as a basis to win over some allies and form a strength advantage over its hostile forces.
Gao Pragmatic smiled and said: "The reason why he has been based in Osaka for a long time is precisely because Osaka is currently the largest commercial city in Japan. And after you mentioned this, I suddenly remembered another thing, which further illustrates Toyotomi Hideyoshi's Power' perception."
Liu Xin asked: "What is it?"
"Toyotomi Hideyoshi's plan after conquering the Ming Dynasty." Gao Jingshi suddenly couldn't help laughing and said: "He thought that after conquering the Ming Dynasty, the emperor could stay in Beijing. He himself...guess where he plans to stay?"
Liu Xin thought for a while and said hesitantly: "Nanjing?"
"No, he plans to stay in Ningbo."
Liu Xin's eyes suddenly widened and she said with surprise: "Ningbo? Why?"
"Because in his understanding, Ningbo has long been an important trade port in China (especially trade with Japan), so he believed that by sitting in Ningbo, he could control the trade of the Ming Dynasty, then control the wealth, and finally control the world - just like The same thing he did in Japan."
"I..." Liu Xin put her hand on her forehead and shook her head: "I don't know how to evaluate it for a moment. This plan is really too absurd and out-of-the-box. Are you sure this is true?"
"This statement does not come from any folklore, it has a real origin." Gao pragmatically said: "It was recorded in the "HDB Documents" by Toyotomi Hideyoshi's close servant Yamanaka Nagatoshi." [Note: This source is "Hideyoshi and Bunroku Keicho's Battle", Nagoya Castle Museum, Saga Prefecture, Japan, 2007, 43 pages]
Gao Pragmatic smiled again and continued: "Yamanaka Nagatoshi, as the official penholder of Hideyoshi's era, was responsible for the work of continuing to write the second chapter of "Taipingki", "Record of the Rebellion of Medieval Japan", which can be said to be the closest to the national level. The existence of the historian.
At the same time, in the last few years when Yamanaka Nagatoshi was supplementing and revising his works, Hideyoshi was dead, so I personally think that Yamanaka's records of Hideyoshi are relatively credible and objective. Therefore, I think the rumor that 'Hideyoshi had planned to move his base camp to Ningbo' is basically credible. "
"Does he really think that Ningbo is China's main trade city?" Liu Xin still seemed a little unbelievable.
“Ningbo has an extremely important position in China’s maritime field, especially in terms of tomorrow’s maritime relations. Since the Song Dynasty, Ningbo has been a key port that has dominated Sino-Japanese trade.
But I guess there is another reason why Ningbo is an unavoidable sore spot in Toyotomi Hideyoshi's mind, and that is an incident that affected the two countries' views on maritime issues, and even ultimately affected their respective national destiny: Ningbo chaos. "
"Ningbo Rebellion?" Liu Xin frowned: "I don't seem to have heard of it at all."
"Our history textbooks at that time didn't seem to take this matter seriously, and it seems that I didn't learn it at that time." Gao Pragmatic coughed lightly and said: "But the Ningbo Rebellion was indeed the most serious diplomatic incident in the entire Ming Dynasty. One. It was February of the fourth year of Jiajing (1524), and Song Suqing, the deputy envoy of the Japanese Hosokawa fleet, was executed.
This incident directly led to the Ming Dynasty abolishing the Fujian and Zhejiang Shipping Departments five years later, leaving only the Guangdong Shipping Department. Since then, the trade route between the Ming Dynasty and Japan was cut off, and Japanese pirates breed, which also laid the foundation for the later Southeast Asia. The Japanese disaster laid the groundwork.
In 1536, Yoshitaka Ouchi, who controlled northern Kyushu and Chugoku, began sending out Ming ships again. In 1551, Yoshitaka was destroyed by his retainer Tao Qingxian (the Daningji Incident). His successor, Ouchi Yoshinaga, sent an envoy to the Ming Dynasty in 1556, requesting the reopening of trade. However, the Ming Dynasty regarded Yoshitaka as a usurper and rejected it.
In 1557, Yoshinaga was destroyed by Motonari Mori, and the Ouchi clan was completely destroyed. Therefore, the hope of reopening trade was completely cut off. Tomorrow's trade will be transferred to Shuangyu off the coast of Ningbo - you must have heard this name from your father-in-law. ——Or private trade and smuggling trade were carried out in the Zhoushan Islands. Coastal wealthy families, officials and businessmen colluded with each other, gradually evolving into a large-scale smuggling group, and thus launched the later era of Japanese pirates.
I have seen a map of East Asia drawn by the Japanese before. The rough outline of this map is still there, but the size of the country is quite distorted. In general, even though the Ming Dynasty has become smaller, North Korea and Japan have become a lot bigger.
On this map, whether starting from Sakai Port (near Osaka) controlled by the Hosokawa family or Hakata Port (later in Fukuoka) controlled by the Ouchi family, among the three major ports of the Ming Dynasty at that time: Guangzhou, Fuzhou, and Ningbo, Ningbo Port was the capital of the Ming Dynasty. is the latest. "
"Oh, I understand, I understand." Liu Xin finally understood. She stretched out her green jade finger and made a few gestures in the void, and said: "In Japan at this time, except for the Shimazu family of the Satsuma clan who are far away from the center of Japan's power, Except for the two families of Shikoku Nagasogabu, Japanese senior officials including Toyotomi Hideyoshi knew almost nothing about the ocean.
These people want to cross the ocean to conquer Korea and even the Ming Dynasty. All they can inherit is the sailing experience of Japanese pirates and merchants who carried out smuggling trade and plunder during the 70 years of maritime isolation. In such a situation, when Toyotomi Hideyoshi thought When you need to establish a base camp with Japan's supply lifeline behind it, how could you not choose Ningbo? "
Gao Pragmatic laughed: "You understand when it comes to military affairs?"
"No, I think I understood it when it came to geography - this is called professionalism." Liu Xin blinked and joked to herself. Then he paused and asked again: "Okay, I think we have pretty much speculated about Toyotomi Hideyoshi's situation now, so the question is: What useful information can we capture from these speculations?"
"Is there any useful information? I think there are a few points." Gao pragmatically said: "First, Toyotomi Hideyoshi controlled Japan to a large extent by relying on financial resources rather than combat effectiveness.
Secondly, a large part of the reason why Toyotomi Hideyoshi launched the war was that his subordinates had no reward, and he had nothing to do with Tokugawa and others, so he had to think of a way through invasion.
Third, after the death of Toyotomi Hideyoshi, if Hidetsu was not around, Tokugawa Ieyasu would inevitably rise, and the Western Army would not be able to defeat him. "
Liu Xin thought for a while, frowned and said: "With Toyotomi Hideji, can the Western Army defeat the Eastern Army? I remember you just said that Toyotomi Hideji had been defeated by Tokugawa Ieyasu before, and even fought against him A famous general."
"I didn't say that you will definitely win if you show off. What I said is that you will lose if you don't show off."
Gao Pragmatic snorted softly and said: "During the Sekigahara War, the Western Army had two biggest problems: First, the well-known disunity of people. If Hidetsu was around, this would at least be better than in history;
Second, Toyotomi Hideyori and his mother in Osaka City did not intervene in the war between the two armies, which led the Toyotomi family's 'court' to voluntarily give up control of Japan - both in name and in fact. "
"Well...then what do you want to do?"
Gao pragmatic touched his chin, which had no beard at all, and chuckled: "Me...I want to give it a try to see if I can play the game of resurrecting a corpse and occupying a magpie's nest."
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