The numbering game reached the fourth round, and Liu Hehe won with difficulty.
Wu Huizai and Du Ziming observed him. In fact, this kind of observation was also a help. For an existence that is too powerful, the probability of its vision and expectation of the future coming true will be greatly increased.
Of course, the playwright is probably watching the play in some corner, and everyone’s influence is stacked together, and there is no telling what fluctuations it will cause in the future.
It's round five, and there are forty players left. On average, six people are eliminated in each round.
A lot less than it seemed at first. But according to the probability, it will only get higher and higher.
The previous strategy was to avoid falling behind, but now it is to strive for priority. The risks are increasing step by step, and the difficulty is also increasing step by step.
Liu Hehehe licked his lips. He thought he would be afraid under such pressure, but now he found himself excited.
Perhaps because he had never really experienced such a big event before, Liu Hehehe had never seen his true nature clearly. Of course, most of the challengers who participate in those competitions like challenges, but they themselves are more extreme than them.
Wu Hui, who actually yearns for harmony and tranquility, is actually different from someone like him who longs for challenges.
For such an important game, although I am a little excited, I still have to calm down. Some mood swings can enhance the brain's thinking ability through hormones, but never lose your cool because of it.
"I thought I looked a lot like you at first, but now I don't feel so much like you."
"This era is very peaceful, and people's emotions are not that deep. In a world where sincerity is more conducive to survival, they are not as used to suppressing their emotions as I am." Wu Hui said.
Du Ziming: "Yes, you actually had a hard time when you were a child. Not being able to express your emotions is actually a side effect of the shadow of childhood."
"Have you ever studied the psychology of super beings? Is the concept of childhood still valid for beings with lifespans of tens of millions of years?" Wu Hui pushed up his glasses.
"Yes. But their childhood is actually the process of growing from mortals to super beings." Du Ziming said.
Wu Hui: "Let me take a look at the research data."
"Why do you, a dead man, worry so much?" Du Ziming rolled his eyes.
"I'm used to it." Wu Hui pushed up his glasses.
"Speaking of which, did you just travel through time once, or did you go to several eras that you were worried about to see what happened?" Du Ziming asked.
"Just once. I can't go too far." Wu Hui said, "Death is death. As a lonely ghost in the upper reaches of time and space, I don't need and shouldn't continue to wander. In fact, you should have died long ago." ..
Du Ziming: "I won't die until I have enough fun. Ah, they say I don't take my life seriously, but in fact you take your life even less seriously than I do."
Wu Hui said no more. It was obvious that Du Ziming resented his death very much. The atmosphere becomes a little weird if we continue talking.
If Ren Yin saw this scene... Oh, Ren Yin would have lived a happy life and died just like him. It is now three thousand years later.
Being able to live a happy life is actually the best ending. There are many tragedies in which heroes finally create a peaceful and prosperous world after fighting a war, only to have everything come to nothing after thousands of years.
Except for the future of mankind, which makes Wu Hui a little worried, he really doesn't care about other things.
Du Ziming, in this situation, was not free and easy enough.
While the two were chatting, classmate Liu Hehe also started the fifth round of the numbering game.
In this round, the forty people who are closest to 1.5 times the average will advance. In the event of equal closeness, the smaller person will advance. For example, if the average is 50 and 1.5 times is 75, then 74 will take precedence over 76. If the average is 1.5 times greater than 99, it is regarded as a remainder operation. If the average is 1.5 times 100, it is regarded as 1, and 101 is regarded as 2.
This game is adapted from a classic game. That is to select the person closest to half the mean.
If everyone chooses the largest, then the average number should be fifty. In this case, everyone who thinks of the first level should choose twenty-five. Thinking of the candidates for the second level, half of twenty-five...
In this game, the higher the average IQ of the group, the lower the group will be in the end. It can be said to be a device for estimating group intelligence. How low a person is selected does not necessarily represent his own level. It’s more of a judgment on the group you belong to.
And this is the other way around. Theoretically, the smarter the person, the better the candidate will be.
So you should choose 99. But this depends on the second condition. If the average is 1.5 times greater than 99, the remainder will be taken.
In this case, when everyone takes the maximum, the result will be the victory closest to 49. In this case, adjustments will be needed.
"It's equivalent to a math problem." Liu Hehe closed his eyes and pondered: "So what is the best strategy?"
The key is actually not in other places, but in guessing what other people will think. And others are thinking about this too, forming an infinite nest of dolls, or in programming terms - recursion.
Think outside the loop.
If it is unpredictable and consistent in frequency, it is equivalent to randomness. The closest result would be forty-nine to fifty, and one point and a half times that would be seventy-five.
So will other people take this into consideration?
If you think about it this way, the average number will become ninety-nine. So it should be fifty? If we both choose fifty, if we compromise, it will become seventy-five again.
Seventy-five should be the most likely.
So many choices, seventy-five, fifty, and... thirteen.
Because if everyone considers seventy-five, one and a half times the average is thirteen. Then there is a nested loop among the three choices.
The next thing to judge is which one more people will choose. Make yourself a minority. And it has to be a special minority. Of course, you can also ensure that the one you choose is not too bad.
Seventy-five, fifty, and thirteen are the ones Liu Hehe thinks have the highest probability. There are actually many possibilities.
Just put yourself in the right zone. Then choose Thirteen.
Because among equal gaps, the smaller one has priority. This becomes the reason for the tilt of the balance. Liu Hehe's mind moved very quickly and he was not stuck in an endless loop.
Well, areas under fifty will theoretically appear twice, which is indeed more cost-effective.
Liu Hehe didn't know what the specific final result was, but he advanced. Four rounds remain. Thirty people, each one has an increasing chance of being eliminated.
Phew... Next question.
The card players were also watching their game. Not looking at the game itself, but looking at people's thought process within the game. Evaluate yourself, estimate others, and find your suitable position.
This is the guy the card players want to pick out. At present, it seems that these people's performance is relatively average.
However, Wu Hui's performance in the audition stage was not too surprising. To be honest, in the finals, I still couldn't beat the poker player until the extra round.
But in the extra round after the draw, Wu Hui relied on his courage to defeat the poker player.
So at this time, he was not anxious to see the performance of these players, but waited patiently.
Finally, it’s the last round of the numbering game.
Twelve people remain. The game rules of this game are to exchange numbers.
Each person can have three free exchange opportunities and forced exchange opportunities. Free exchange means that you can choose the next person with a higher or lower number than you, and the two parties will exchange numbers with his consent. Forced exchange is the same, except that it does not require the consent of the other party.
No one moved for the time being. It is always human nature to wait and see.
This time, however, you are not told the winning conditions. No one knows what number it will take to win this final round.
The probability of choosing ten out of twelve is very high. so……
What is the eliminated position? Is it the maximum, minimum, or average?
First, my number is 15, which is certainly not that big. Then I want to exchange with, bigger.
Free exchange once.
Wu Hui looked at their choices and could see the winning conditions from their perspective. The lowest one and the highest one will be eliminated.
Of the twelve remaining, ten were left. Although there is no other information, it is clear that the above is one of the most likely scenarios.
The probability of choosing something in the middle is actually relatively small because it is not reasonable enough. Poker players are not masters and will intentionally mislead you. So the correct way to play is of course to climb toward the middle.
The remaining players are 4, 15, 33, 35, 49, 57, 61, 65, 73, 81, 90, and 93.
4. If you choose to swap up, you will swap numbers with 15. If you choose to swap down, you will swap numbers with 99, and vice versa. The numbering on the edge is more troublesome, and you need to find a way to go to the middle as much as possible.
The people in the middle need to find ways to avoid being replaced.
The opportunity to exchange is important. Confirming your position is more important. For example, 15, if you use the forced exchange too early, you will definitely lose if you are forced to the lower position by No. 4.
If everyone knows where they are, everyone can quickly calculate the optimal solution for the position change. But now, first of all, we don’t know where the edge is when we fail, and secondly, we don’t know where the edge is. The situation suddenly becomes a lot more complicated.
"What would you do instead?" Du Ziming asked Wu Hui.
Wu Hui: "Try to reach the range of forty to sixty as much as possible, and then keep yourself unchanged. Poker players are not the masters. If the numbers are randomly assigned, then the numbers are randomly assigned. So in theory, the last one stays players, the probability is relatively evenly distributed between 1 and 99, and the median should be around fifty.”
"What about extreme cases? For example, the numbers appear consecutively from 1 to 12."
"The probability is too low, and the decision cannot take into account all possibilities, so give up thinking. Just use the most reliable strategy." Wu Hui said: "The game of poker players does require some luck. If there is no such unreliability of probability, Factor, it’s too simple and too boring for him.”
"Ah, indeed, for poker players, nothing in the universe is unclear. They can only rely on this kind of game that they cannot control 100% to increase their difficulty and fun." Du Ziming didn't understand. I brought out a swivel chair somewhere, sat on it and started spinning around.
Wu Hui looked at the players in the game and suddenly narrowed his eyes: "Actually, there is a simpler strategy, which is to do nothing. Twelve to ten, it is possible to win by just trying your luck."
"But no player who has come this far is willing to leave his victory or defeat to completely unreliable luck, right?" Du Ziming knew these humans very well.
"Indeed. I definitely wouldn't choose to wait." Wu Hui nodded. Resigning yourself to fate is impossible for the players who have broken into this place.
