In the showdown over this incident, Chen Nian had actually considered the consequences.
He has actually thought of other plans, such as large-scale evacuation under the pretext of "drills", "earthquake prediction technology" and so on.
But the former is frighteningly difficult to operate, while the latter is almost impossible to achieve.
Yes, the system provides the source point requirement for the earthquake predictor, but the size of this requirement is in the five-digit range.
The reason is simple. If you want to predict earthquakes, you must first have a 100% grasp of the global geological environment. This requires human detection technology to be hundreds of years ahead of its time.
In addition, even if we have geological environmental data, it is impossible to complete a reference analysis with the computing power currently possessed by humans - at least until the emergence of quantum computers.
Generally speaking, earthquake prediction seems ordinary, but it is even more difficult to implement than a starship.
Therefore, he could only speak frankly.
Yes, once he says some things, he will face huge logical challenges.
Why do you know there is an earthquake? Why do you have this information? Where does the information come from? Besides these, what else do you know?
Or, are you a prophet? Is it from the future?
No matter which question it was, it was difficult for him to answer.
However, he was also mentally prepared.
This is something that cannot be escaped.
Objectively speaking, recovering the losses caused by this disaster is extremely important to national development, many times more important than an aircraft carrier or a strategic bomber.
Subjectively, he really couldn't sit back and watch his compatriots suffer.
This is not a trolley problem, this is tens of thousands of human lives.
After all, in his opinion, not doing something when you can obviously do it is a huge waste of your own abilities.
Taking a step back, even if one considers one's own interests, there is actually not much harm in this option.
Anyway, my current situation is almost the same as a showdown, but everyone tacitly doesn't mention it.
Being able to predict the future is indeed a huge "plug-in" for ordinary people, but is it really that important to a country?
Chen Nian didn't think so.
At a macro level, the "foreseeing" feature actually has limited effects.
You know that the other side is going to take action against Iraq, and then what?
Stock up on oil in advance? Lay out the energy market in advance?
Not to mention what kind of chain reaction such a big move will cause, the resources required to make these moves are not easily affordable.
In a word, the struggle between great powers is all a conspiracy.
Since World War II, no country's development has been succumbed to conspiracy.
Even in the last life, when we suffered a collapse in the soybean, steel, and chip markets, didn’t the officials know what the other side was going to do? Do the officials really have no forward-looking predictions?
impossible.
Or, it can't be stopped.
Or, it is impossible to calculate the cost of responding to the other party's plan and the possible benefits.
Even if we can predict the future, we cannot do this.
After all, Chen Nian only knows about "events", not the overall "state of affairs", and he doesn't know what kind of plan is the "optimal solution".
Therefore, in the final analysis, technological development is the only main thread. If you want to rely on the unpredictable to take advantage of the situation, you should give up the idea of fighting for hegemony as soon as possible.
Of course, that's what he said, but if he really faced a key event where "information can change the outcome" and Chen Nian could remember it, he would still take action without hesitation.
For example, this time, or that time in 2014, or that time in 20 years.
Thinking of this, Chen Nian's brows relaxed slightly.
He raised his head again and looked at Chen Guo, his mind fully comprehended.
He opened his mouth and said:
"In terms of funds, we should not have too many difficulties. Including emergency disaster relief funds and post-disaster reconstruction funds, the total amount will not exceed 200 billion."
"Our focus should still be on 'how to minimize losses', especially on reducing casualties."
"As long as people are alive, everything is easy to say."
"clear."
Chen Guo nodded slightly and then said:
"I'm not a relevant scholar, but according to my understanding, currently, the entire world does not have a good way to deal with large-scale and high-intensity geological disasters, especially earthquakes."
"The best option is to reinforce the building, improve the earthquake resistance level, and evacuate people in a timely manner."
"As for wanting to prevent earthquakes from happening at the source, I've never heard of it."
"I have heard."
Chen Nian said.
"There is a design called the 'seismic shield' structure, which refers to drilling holes to form a layer of void structure around key areas that need to be protected in earthquake-prone areas."
"Artificial experimental data shows that this structure can reduce the energy of Rayleigh waves generated by earthquakes by more than 80%."
"The only problem is that this kind of structure would be too much work and too expensive."
"There is also the so-called 'seismic cloak', which is to plant wedge-shaped trees on the land. Through the high and low arrangement of the trees, Rayleigh waves are converted into shear waves."
"Of course, although this design is less difficult to implement, the effect is also much worse."
Hearing Chen Nian's words, Chen Guo frowned slightly.
"What if multiple methods are used in combination? Can the maximum effect be achieved?"
"Theoretically it should be possible - but the specific implementation still needs to be discussed by relevant geological experts."
Chen Guo nodded silently and continued to ask:
"How accurately can you map out the earthquake's source range?"
"Within 10 kilometers."
Chen Nian did not remember the exact latitude and longitude coordinates of this earthquake, but he knew that the epicenter was near Yingxiu, and the deviation would not exceed 10 kilometers.
"That's not a big project."
Chen Guo's expression relaxed again, and then, while calculating on the paper, he explained:
"Look, if the effect of the earthquake shield is reliable, we calculate it based on a diameter of 30 kilometers, and the circumference of the epicenter control area is about 100 kilometers."
"Within this 100-kilometer length, we need to carry out deep drilling operations. The diameter of a single hole is 1 meter, the depth is 100 meters, and the hole spacing is calculated as 1 meter."
"The amount of earthwork in one hole is only 120 cubic meters. The total amount of earthwork is 6 million cubic meters. I am not a civil engineering professional, but if you only look at the amount of earthwork, this data does not even touch the edge of large-scale projects."
After hearing Chen Guo's calculation, Chen Nian was also surprised.
At first, he really thought that this would be a big project, but after thinking about it carefully and demarcating the precise location, it seemed that it really wasn't that big.
Of course, this “not big” benchmark is the size of national projects.
If he wanted to accomplish this kind of project by himself, even relying on the Spark Team, without the help of the authorities, it would be impossible.
After all, the biggest problem of the project is not the engineering difficulty, but the various social issues caused during the construction process
After thinking for a moment, he said:
"Less than 6 million square meters."
"There are fixed standards for the calculation of seismic shields. For seismic waves of magnitude 8.0 and 50Hz, the size of the hole should be about 60 centimeters, and the depth does not need to be 100 meters. 30 meters is enough to block surface waves."
"That's easier!"
Chen Guo clapped her hands gently, with a smile on her face.
"It's not a big deal, it's within the scope of handling."
"However, your news is really a top priority."
"Otherwise, a problem that can be solved by tens of billions or even billions may cause losses in the trillions."
Chen Guo's inference is not an exaggeration. In fact, according to official statistics from the previous life, the direct economic losses caused by this earthquake reached nearly one trillion yuan, and the overall economic losses caused indirectly were immeasurable.
"Do you really believe me?"
Chen Nian suddenly asked.
"There is nothing unbelievable. Even if you say you dreamed it, we will handle it according to the standard of 'a nightmare come true'."
"Don't worry too much. Even if we are wrong, we will just treat it as a rehearsal."
Chen Nian nodded solemnly and then continued:
"The effect of the earthquake shield is not certain, so on the basis of this direct measure, we must prepare other response measures."
"Including emergency and disaster relief equipment, rescue plans, evacuation plans, resettlement plans, etc."
"If something is done in advance, it will be done; if it is not done in advance, it will be ruined. We cannot scratch our heads when things come to an end."
"Don't worry, leave it to the professionals."
Chen Guo closed the notebook in her hand, glanced at her watch and said:
"The meeting is about to begin, let's come together."
A few minutes later, with the permission of their superiors, more than ten members of the Spark Team's core group held an emergency meeting by phone.
Chen Guo reported the situation on behalf of Chen Nian, and after listening, everyone on the line fell silent.
The impact of this news was too great. Even though the people present had direct contact with Chen Nian and could be said to have "seen the big world", they still couldn't help but feel a little agitated when they heard Chen Guo's description. stupid.
After a full half minute of silence, Chen Feiyun from the economics team was the first to speak.
Like Chen Guo, he didn't consider the issue of "credibility" at all, but asked directly:
"If this is true, what preparations do we need to make in a year's time?"
"a lot of."
Chen Nian replied:
"From finance to entities, all economic and social sectors will be impacted. For the economic team, the first thing to do is to prepare an impact response plan."
"If our disaster reduction measures fail and a disaster inevitably breaks out, we will inevitably mobilize a large amount of funds and manpower for disaster relief."
"Under such circumstances, the economic pressure we face will reach unprecedented levels. In order to avoid a collapse of the social and economic system, we must formulate a series of economic strategies."
"This will be left to your team."
"clear."
Chen Feiyun answered decisively, and then continued:
"After the superiors notify me, I will organize a discussion among the team members and output the plan as soon as possible."
After he finished speaking, He Wenmao, the current head of the Office of Civil Development, immediately said:
"If this is the case, then various industrial sectors must also prepare disaster preparedness plans."
"Judging from the current situation, our control over industrial production capacity is relatively tight. This is mainly due to the continuation of policies caused by the impact of the previous financial crisis."
"This strategy is helpful for us to deal with international economic shocks, but it is not conducive to organizing large-scale production in a short period of time."
"I suggest that we still need to make some reserves in terms of industrial production capacity. Otherwise, the cost of temporary mobilization is too high and the timeliness is not enough."
"agree."
Chen Nian nodded subconsciously and then said:
"This issue can be discussed with the industrial department as a preliminary proposal."
"Besides these? Does anyone else have any other ideas?"
"Yes, there is a problem with the disaster relief equipment."
The speaker was Lin Yongming from AVIC Group One. His voice was calm, but deep concern could still be heard in it.
“The basin has complex topography, especially near Yingxiu where we expect a disaster to occur.”
"The mountains are high, the roads are far away, and the water network is dense. Even though large-scale road and bridge infrastructure work has been carried out in the past two years, overall, the transportation convenience and disaster resistance level there are not high."
"What's more, we can't rely on an 'uninterrupted highway' for disaster relief."
"Based on international experience, we need a heavy-duty transport equipment to undertake core disaster relief transportation tasks."
"My suggestion is to start purchasing heavy transport helicopters, such as the Mi-26, as soon as possible."
"At the same time, the research and development of heavy-duty helicopters must also be put on the agenda."
"This 'imminent disaster' is a warning to us. We do lack the basic capabilities to respond to disasters, especially basic equipment."
Hearing Lin Yongming's words, Chen Nian couldn't help but feel a little emotional.
These older generation technical leaders can indeed be said to be impeccable in their vision and vision.
Even based on the extremely limited information provided by Chen Nian, he immediately saw through the biggest difficulty and even proposed the same official solution as in the previous life.
Chen Nian still remembers that at that time, the Mi-26 could even be called the savior of disaster areas.
Not only did it transport a large amount of scarce living supplies to the disaster area in the initial stage and transfer a large number of trapped and injured people, but it also single-handedly hoisted and transported dozens of heavy equipment into the site, which largely solved the core of the serious disaster. But there is a problem of lack of rescue capabilities.
Several of the most dangerous barrier lakes in the disaster area were solved with the construction machinery and equipment transported by this behemoth.
Its effect is huge, but its quantity is pitifully small - only one!
Therefore, Lin Yongming's proposal undoubtedly hit the most painful point.
"This is a good suggestion, I agree."
"The problem of purchasing heavy transport helicopters can be solved with Spark's funds."
"At the same time, I will also try to solve the technical difficulties of heavy transport helicopters and strive to build our own heavy helicopters within one or two years."
"By then, we won't be so passive."
After a series of discussions, everyone finally reached a basic consensus on the future disaster.
At the same time, higher-level departments also began to conduct research and judgment, and many experts were urgently summoned.
In the corners invisible to ordinary people, the gears of this state machine have quietly begun to rotate.
There will be another chapter later
