Chapter 52 Probability

Style: Science Author: rainbow gateWords: 3266Update Time: 24/01/12 05:38:35
At this moment, there are about 160,000 adults in the entire human civilization. Except for some industries necessary to maintain the operation of society, such as food production, the rest are all invested in military-related industries, and the remaining industries have temporarily stopped. .

The supply of various non-staple food products has been greatly reduced, and commercial activities have almost completely disappeared. Almost everyone I met on the road looked serious and walked in a hurry. Major factories are busy day and night and never stop.

The first generation of "Dust" class spy satellites are under intense development. Once successfully manufactured, they will be immediately delivered to the surroundings of the Deep Sky Star to collect all information about the Deep Sky Star. Improved versions of electromagnetic guns and deep space surveillance radars are also being developed. The construction of the space dock and the roller base has also not been stopped.

"Build a second space elevator."

Zhao Changxing issued the order.

It is almost certain that if they cannot be exterminated in this revenge, then the confrontation with deep space civilization will be long-lasting, and the time span may be as long as several centuries. In this long confrontation, not only must we find ways to weaken the opponent, but we must also find ways to enhance our own strength. Therefore, not only can large-scale construction tasks not be stopped, but they must be accelerated.

In fact, this has also been classified by Zhao Changxing into the category of military-related industries.

Time passed bit by bit, and two years passed in the blink of an eye, reaching the 246th year of the New Calendar.

During this period of time, communication between deep space civilization and human civilization has never been interrupted. Both parties seem to be sincerely discussing the details of cooperation, but so far there has been no concrete progress.

Twenty of the latest generation of flame-type transport spacecraft have been built, partially assuming the responsibility of connecting space and the surface. Another ten small single-man combat spacecraft were manufactured by the spacecraft factory and delivered to the military.

These small one-man combat spacecraft are propelled by chemical fuel and have no internal life support system but need to rely on space suits to survive. The weapon equipped on them is a powder-driven double-barreled machine gun with a firing rate of up to 100 rounds per minute, and the bullet exit speed reaches 1.2 kilometers per second.

They also have no long-range interstellar combat capabilities and cannot leave Sedna very far. Because they have extremely limited fuel and oxygen reserves.

Taken together, they are more like space-modified versions of the original Earth-era armed helicopters.

This kind of spacecraft is code-named Wu-1 within the War Committee.

The members of the War Commission were quite dissatisfied with this thing. They generally believed that it had little practical value, but in the end they had to accept it with pinched noses.

In the military system, in addition to weapons such as land-based or space-based electromagnetic guns that can be regarded as fixed firepower points, it is obvious that there is also a need for weapons that can move over a wide range, can flexibly choose attack locations, and flexibly perform combat missions. occupy this ecological niche. The Wu-1 combat spacecraft is already the best design solution that the military factory can come up with at this moment, right? Then there is none.

So at this stage, these ten Wu-1 combat spacecraft are temporarily used as training aircraft, and assume the responsibility of searching for spy satellites in space and capturing or destroying them.

It was at this time that the dust-class spy satellite No. 1 finally passed various acceptance inspections and achieved satisfactory performance in actual verification.

Compared with the Wu-1 combat spacecraft, the members of the war committee really can't say anything dissatisfied with the dust-class spy satellite. First of all, it has high optical reconnaissance capabilities. At a distance of 200,000 kilometers, the highest resolution can reach the kilometer level. It is small in size. With a special coating, it has excellent stealth capabilities and can effectively avoid radar. scanning. The high-gain directional antenna can also stably transmit the detected data back to the Sedna star and receive commands from the Sedna star.

At this stage, it has achieved almost the ultimate in every aspect.

Therefore, under the launch of the launch platform that was also developed recently, they acquired an initial speed of 3.2 kilometers per second and flew towards the deep space star.

Advancing at this speed, they will arrive near the Deep Sky Star in about 8 months, and start decelerating, slowly reducing themselves to a speed of less than 200 meters per second relative to the Deep Sky Star, and will reach the Deep Sky Star at a distance of Detect the sky star in an orbit of 80,000 to 200,000 kilometers.

The entire process takes approximately one year.

During this period, after a long and difficult search, people finally found the first spy satellite from a deep space civilization in an orbit 176,000 kilometers away from the Sedna star. But unfortunately, people didn't manage to capture it.

Just like the spy satellites launched by humans to deep space stars, these spy satellites from deep space stars are also equipped with self-destruction systems. After realizing that someone was trying to capture them, they immediately chose to self-destruct.

The explosion almost took the life of a soldier. Even if he escaped by chance, the Wu-1 spacecraft had lost all power and could only wait for help. The subsequent spacecraft that came to the rescue only found some metal fragments of the spy satellite.

These things were immediately taken to the laboratory for analysis by the treasure-hunting military industry experts, hoping to deduce more information about deep space civilization by analyzing the data related to these materials.

The search is always going on. I believe it won’t be long before people can find the second spy satellite. That time, people will be more careful and try to bring back complete satellites if possible.

Time flew by, and soon the spy satellites arrived above the Deep Space Star, lurked quietly, and started working. The first batch of information about Deep Space Star was also sent back.

The Deep Sky Star and the Sedna Star are both distant independent celestial bodies. Except for being smaller, the surface structure is almost the same as the Sedna Star. Both are covered with a thick layer of tholin and have all kinds of landforms. .

Just above the surface, spy satellites captured numerous buildings with very obvious artificial features. However, its number is much less than that of Sedna.

Looking at these creations of another civilization, people's hearts are filled with wonderful feelings.

Under people's careful identification, living areas, industrial areas, military areas and other areas were identified one by one. As for space targets, no targets were found.

"There are too few creations of deep space civilization. Judging by our human standards, it is unlikely that a cluster of this size can create weapons such as long-range interstellar missiles."

"There are two possibilities. First, they have a higher level of technology. Second, they actually have many creations, but they are just hidden. It may be underground in the deep space star, or it may be in space, just like our Spark Like a spaceship."

"If it is the second possibility, more of their creations should exist underground, and it is unlikely to be in space. Industrial clusters are very huge things, and as long as there is no technological generation gap, they must be like this. And if it is really true in space If there is such a large-scale building cluster, it is impossible that our spy satellites cannot detect it."

This judgment has been recognized by people.

"It should be underground. If their technological level is really high, there is no need for them to compromise with us."

This is the most desired result. It would be best if the technological inheritance of deep space civilizations were discontinued or lost, so that people would not have to worry about their technological development surpassing their own.

Zhao Changxing knocked on the table: "Let's conduct further testing."

"yes."

In the plan, people will control one of these spy satellites to keep it close to the deep space star until it is destroyed or captured by the deep space civilization.

In this way, people can indirectly test the capabilities of the deep space civilization's planetary defense system, and make next arrangements based on this.

Of course, this may lead to the leakage of one's own scientific and technological data, or the other party's details of one's own, just as one's own is currently searching for their spy satellites and trying to capture them. However, Zhao Changxing believes that the price is worth it. Besides, it’s just a spy satellite. Even if it leaks again, how much can it leak?

The signal from Sedna has been sent out at this moment. It will arrive at the spy satellite after a communications delay of more than three minutes.

After the delay, people saw that the picture displayed on the screen began to become clear bit by bit. Obviously, the spy satellite is constantly shortening the distance between itself and the deep space star.

100,000 kilometers, 98,000 kilometers, 96,000 kilometers...

The distance reduction process continued for more than four days. When the distance finally shortened to 62,500 kilometers, the picture disappeared.

Signal transmission interrupted.

"The satellite was destroyed or captured. I don't know if it self-destructed."

People sighed and immediately started further discussions.

Measuring the defensive capabilities of a planet's defense system can be calculated using a complex model. Now, people have obviously obtained some of the more critical data.

After inputting a series of data into the model, Xiaoxi gave a conclusion the next moment.

"To break through the deep space star's planetary defense system, the final speed of the interstellar missile must reach at least 29.21 kilometers per second."

"29.21 kilometers per second..."

This data makes people look at each other.

You must know that the fastest missiles launched by the deep space civilization towards the Sedna star were only 25 kilometers per second when they reached their maximum speed.

What is more noteworthy is that the results calculated by this model are presented in a probabilistic manner. Even if the missile can reach this speed, the probability of a single missile breaking through the defense network is only 31%.

Calculated based on this probability, the probability that five consecutive missiles will not be able to break through the defense network is 69% to the fifth power, or about 15.64%. On the other hand, the probability of at least one hitting is 84.36%. Zhao Changxing believes that this probability is the lower limit of what is acceptable.

The five long-range interstellar missiles are the greatest power that people can use in retaliatory actions at this stage.

Any more would be unrealistic.

"However, our missiles are fully loaded, but their maximum speed can only reach 19 kilometers per second..."