Chapter 194: Calculation of winning rate? Report: Your entire army has been wiped out.

Style: Science Author: Can't sleepWords: 4113Update Time: 24/01/12 01:48:16
The typo was later corrected] The point is, why did the Tsing Yi Army appear in the rear?

Isn't the only way to enter the Southern Star God under the guard's feet?

Thinking of this, Elder Ziniu came back to his senses instantly, vaguely thought of a possibility, and immediately gritted his teeth and said:

"They must have used the teleportation contract ability!"

"Even if Pandora's half-spirit takes action, it's impossible for so many Tsing Yi Army Gods to fly to the rear without anyone noticing."

Hearing this, all the legion commanders immediately understood what Elder Ziniu meant. Indeed, even if half-spirits can fly in the air, they cannot bring too many people to break away from Rodinia's gravity at the same time. The other party must have used it. Teleportation contract items.

The first thing that came to everyone's mind was Pandora. This was not their fault. The only known large-scale teleportation array on the mainland was Pandora's headquarters on Ayerkula Island.

The commander of the Fourth Army suddenly cursed: "Pandora never opens its teleportation array to the outside world. Even Pandora's headquarters never allows outsiders to enter. I didn't expect that in order to join forces to attack us Hessians, Pandora actually helped the Federation teleport troops... .This is simply shameful!”

The commander of the Sixth Army touched his beard and corrected him in a deep voice:

"This is biased. I don't think it's an accident."

"Pandora has been integrated with the Federation for a long time. Now that we have to face such a powerful enemy like us, of course we have to join forces to keep warm and do whatever we can! You know, if they don't unite together, they will be wiped out by the Hesse people. Annihilate.”

It doesn't matter if you feel good about yourself, because Elder Ziniu usually thinks so too. He believes that his ten legions are enough to dominate the world. It is not difficult to overthrow a small federation, and it is easy to overthrow a Pandora. It can be done.

But just today, two entire elite cavalry regiments were lost in a single encounter in the front, and not even a shadow of the enemy could be touched. Now, the Tsing Yi Army suddenly appeared in the rear and exchanged fire with four reinforcements. This has already happened. The rock-solid self-confidence of Elder Ziniu was shaken. Hearing that the commander of the Fourth Army was still analyzing the battle situation at this time was bragging without taking into account the real situation, which still felt a bit prickly.

Elder Ziniu stretched out his hand and knocked on the table, signaling to the commander of the Fourth Army and a senior staff officer beside him to calm down, frowning and saying:

"Contact the legions behind you quickly. What happened?"

The subordinate in charge of communication immediately took action and ordered the communication team in charge of the radio station to contact the rear. At the same time, he took out the contract items he carried with him and kept calling.

Although the Hesse Legion is not equipped with a large number of contractors and contract items, basic communications can still be equipped with contract items, which is not difficult.

While waiting for the results, Commander Hesse Elder Ziniu couldn't help but sigh:

"If we really encountered the Tsing Yi Army...if they really teleported to the rear, they must have ambushed our four legions. In this case...our situation is in jeopardy!"

Hearing Elder Ziniu suddenly say this, several high-ranking officers all looked over.

Elder Ziniu pointed to the sand table in front of him, which is exactly where he is currently:

"If the four legions supported by the rear are defeated, then the enemy will inevitably attack back, and it will inevitably form a double-team with the current front-line positions!"

"Now we...have lost the 1st and 2nd Cavalry Regiments, and the other legions have also suffered casualties. Once we are trapped here by both sides, there will be no possibility of escape. You know, even if we hold on we may It’s very difficult to do that, after all, the supply lines in the rear have been cut off.”

When Elder Ziniu said this, his face was as gloomy as water, and his eyes were fixed on the southern slope of the Kassam Plain where the army is currently stationed, as if he had foreseen what was going to happen in the near future and saw the future situation he would face. .

Unexpectedly, this analysis that was more in line with the facts was not recognized by the army commanders.

The commander of the Fourth Army shook his head. Although he still remained respectful, he still put forward a different view:

"Commander, don't panic. Even if we are trapped here, the situation may not be so bad. The situation you mentioned should be the worst situation, but we may not really fall into this situation."

After clearing his throat, the commander of the Fourth Army performed the Hesse etiquette to Elder Ziniu and said solemnly:

"Commander, please don't underestimate us Hesse Warriors. With our fourth firepower corps here, why should we fear being surrounded by mere Tsing Yi troops?"

"My Hesse warriors all surrounded us and couldn't do anything to us. Haha, as long as the defense line set up by my Fourth Army's two hundred heavy machine guns, even if the number of their Tsing Yi troops was ten times greater, In vain!"

Elder Ziniu originally thought he had some good ideas, but he didn't expect that the Hesse people were still the same as the invincible people in the world. However, this time the target of praise was specifically his own legion, and he suddenly felt a chill in his heart.

But before he had time to speak, the commanders of the Sixth Army and the Seventh Army also gave their opinions.

The commander of the Sixth Army met the commander of the Fourth Army and opened up an awkward situation. He followed his words and conducted another in-depth "analysis":

"Your Majesty, you really don't need to worry too much. What the commander of the Fourth Army said makes sense, and based on my analysis, the situation is really not as bad as you think."

"According to the algorithm that I, the Hesse people, are used to, this should be the calculation logic... Well, first of all, there was indeed a battle in the rear, but did this battle have to be with the Tsing Yi Army? I think there is at least The 10% probability is not. Mountain bandits, grass bandits, and those who want to rebel against the villages of our southern tribe are all possible, so the 10% probability makes sense... Well, of course, it is most likely that Qing Yi was The army ambushed, so the probability is about 90%. Although this number is an estimate below, it is very close to the facts."

"Secondly, even if we are really ambushed by the Tsing Yi Legion, will the four legions we support definitely lose? I still think it needs to be studied. You know, our four reorganized legions not only have more than 50,000 people, but also more The weapons are well-equipped, the soldiers are well-trained, and they are all composed of my noble Hessey men. In this case..."

"Even if Tsing Yi really plays a trick and uses the contract ability to send the main force to the rear to ambush our reinforcements, haha, how many people are there in the Tsing Yi expeditionary army? They are all a miscellaneous team composed of security officers from various places, and they formed the army relatively late. Now there are only about 30,000 people at most. Believe me, I swear in the name of the Ox God that their number will never exceed 30,000!"

"There are at least five to six thousand defenders in the position here. How many people can they use? Twenty thousand? Or even less? Facing my well-equipped reinforcements of fifty thousand, can they get an advantage even if they attack by surprise?"

"My subordinates feel that our winning rate may be even higher. 50,000 against 20,000. Even if they sneak attack on our reinforcements, they will counterattack as soon as possible. Moreover, the final victory may be ours. !”

"Thirty percent, I think there is at least a 30% chance that we defeat them... minus 30% from 90%, then the probability of encountering a worse outcome is 60%."

After coughing twice, the commander of the Sixth Army continued to calculate: "Well... Even if there is a 60% chance that our reinforcements will be defeated, don't forget that the enemy defeated 50,000 of us with 20,000 people. The army, haha, how could they not suffer any casualties?"

"I think that more than half of their losses are a conservative estimate. In other words, according to a conservative estimate, there is a 30% chance that they are already a remnant army that has experienced a cruel battle and only won the victory. Do you understand?"

"Sixty percent minus 30%, and there is still 30%. Haha, Commander-in-Chief, everyone... the probability of the most difficult situation mentioned earlier is only 30%. In fact, it is not high, and..."

At this point, the commander of the Sixth Army seemed to have used his imagination to the extreme. He felt that it was a little more difficult to find suitable arguments to prove a more optimistic ending. He took a long breath, and then continued what he had paused. Cleared up ideas:

"There is a 30% chance that we will be flanked here by both sides. However, this still does not mean that we will be completely annihilated. The commander of the Fourth Army has said that, apart from our several legions, the firepower of the Fourth Army is indeed extremely powerful. , even any other three legions combined cannot match it. This means... the probability that the enemy can trap us here and annihilate us is even lower. Well, let’s make a conservative calculation. One percent!"

"In addition, the enemy surrounded us... Well, let me think about it... Well, I thought of it! You know, they defeated our 50,000 reinforcements, but they were in our southern province , The commander-in-chief is worried that we will lose supplies from the rear after we are surrounded, can they get supplies?"

"Obviously it won't work! Minus another 10%..."

"Thirty percent is minus 20%, which is still a 10% probability. Commander-in-Chief, the bad outcome you are worried about has only a 10% probability. Isn't the probability very low? Is this because I am doing all the formic acid in a conservative way, with a slight exaggeration? If the results in any aspect can be slightly more optimistic, the probability will still be discounted, which means that we will almost never suffer the situation you mentioned."

After this analysis, it can be said to be "reasonable and well-founded". Elder Ziniu was actually confused. Although he felt that something was wrong, he couldn't find anything obvious from the calculation process of the commander of the Sixth Army. Bug opened his mouth, but no words came out.

The commander of the Seventh Army next to him immediately clapped his hands: "Wonderful! The Commander of the Sixth Army is really a genius!"

The commander of the Sixth Army nodded and said modestly: "It's nothing. The whole continent knows that we Hesse people are the most intelligent people, especially in mathematics!"

"Hmm!" The commander of the Seventh Army echoed: "It's up to me to make the final finishing touches. Well, there is still a 10% chance... Your Majesty, my subordinates believe that even if they are really attacked from two sides, the result of......"

"You know, our forward has six legions, 70,000 troops! Although we lost two legions in the first round of the battle yesterday, our main force is still there. The fourth, sixth, seventh, and ninth legions are just After suffering a few casualties from the initial bombardment, well, we still have over 40,000 Hesse warriors!”

"Even if it is a flanking attack, how many troops does the Tsing Yi Expeditionary Force have? At most 20,000 people? 20,000 people flank 40,000 people. Do you think they are overconfident in their combat power?"

"Sure enough, Marshal Xue Chang, the federal army... Haha, they don't have the habit of being modest and cautious like us Hesse people. They always think of themselves as powerful!"

"In this way, the final 10% probability can be subtracted, and the result becomes zero. What does zero mean? In mathematics, zero means non-existence... Haha, Commander-in-Chief, the result you are worried about, We will be double-teamed here, and the probability of being wiped out is zero!"

As soon as he said this, an optimistic atmosphere suddenly filled the entire headquarters tent, and several other high-ranking officers clasped their hands and laughed in recognition.

"Our Hesse Army will definitely stand firm. What the two army commanders are saying is, how can the Federal Tsing Yi Army be our opponent!"

"Of course, they don't understand the modesty of the Hesse people. We lost to them yesterday because they used conspiracy and tricks. Haha, in a head-to-head confrontation, our one legion will make them cry for their father and mother."

"Our Hesse reinforcements will definitely be able to clear the obstacles and completely defeat the opponent's shameless sneak attack. It will be dawn in two hours. Haha, let's prepare to welcome the warriors of the four supporting legions!"

"The strength of both sides has been combined. We have an army of 100,000. Haha, we will defeat the Tsing Yi Army tomorrow and attack Ya'an City..."

In an optimistic and peaceful atmosphere, Elder Ziniu felt his heart twitching suddenly.

As the supreme commander of the Hesse Army, he is not the kind of person who is simply stubborn and knows very well that arrogant soldiers will inevitably lose.

Although he had a wrong understanding, he did not hesitate to disobey the order of the priest, privately mobilized the legions and fired the first shot of the war, but this was only due to the inherent self-confidence of the Hesse people, and thus he concluded that it would definitely be Defeat enemy misconceptions.

After yesterday's fiasco and the incident just now, Elder Ziniu has begun to fall into self-doubt, and begins to feel that he may have misjudged the current battle situation and underestimated his opponents. Gradually, he feels that he and these capable generals have been living in their own selves. Comfortable pride in fantasy.

The crisis that was originally proposed turned into an extremely optimistic ending under the quarrel between a group of people. This made Elder Ziniu even more sure that this was not his illusion, but the truth.

These guys are just trying to comfort themselves. After confirming the result of the match that their side must win, they then find various reasons to prove their wrong arguments.

For a moment, he was filled with anger.

You know, this is war, this is equivalent to the chance of war that he gained by betting his life against Lord Wu Niu Sacrifice. And every wrong judgment in battle is at the cost of the lives of his soldiers!

Now, are you still doing this kind of unnecessary self-comfort?

Elder Ziniu was just about to slam the table and angrily scold everyone, but he heard the messenger rushing into the tent.

"Report, Commander!"

"No one answered the communication of the contracted items, but I have contacted them over the radio, but... the person who answered over there doesn't seem to be one of us."

"...The other side said that all your reinforcements have been wiped out."

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