Regarding the situation in Prussia and France, Xiao Letian has thought a lot before. With the memory of his previous life and his judgment of the current situation, Xiao Letian quickly gave an answer.
If we want to deal with France, we must know where France's current core interests lie. At present, Britain and France occupy the most colonies in the world. It can be said that it is very difficult for France to make a breakthrough in the colonies.
Why did they devote all their efforts to building the Suez Canal? That was because they knew very well that it was impossible to expand through colonies, and Britain would suppress them firmly. So he set his sights on the Suez Canal, hoping to increase national power by controlling the transportation artery.
But the British are not that stupid. They have seen the purpose of the French, and the British also covet the huge interests of the Suez Canal. Therefore, the Suez Canal has now become a complicated situation in which Britain and France jointly hold shares. This short-term is very difficult to solve.
Putting aside global interests, because that is mainly the diplomatic conflict between Britain and France, the current point of conflict between us and France is still in Europe. In other words, the biggest threat to Napoleon III is European interests. .
What are France’s current core interests? Especially France’s core interests in Europe? Let’s not talk about maritime security, because that is the task of the British Royal Navy. They will suppress France to the death, and Napoleon III has no way to deal with the Royal Navy.
The key to the remaining problem is the security of territory on land. We can take a closer look at France’s territorial composition. It is surrounded by the sea, the Mediterranean and the Atlantic Ocean on both sides. This limits the operational capabilities of other countries’ armies, and The biggest immediate threat to his northern front is our German Federation.
And where is the biggest threat on the southern front? That's Spain. In other words, if you want to find out the origin of Napoleon III, you must find a breakthrough from the north and south lines. Why should we actively intervene in the fight for the Spanish throne? Just to cause trouble for him on the southern border of France.
After the Spanish Revolution, Spain's provisional government's first choice was a prince of the German Hohenzollern royal family to serve as Spain's emperor. This is of course not what Napoleon III wanted. He wanted a pro-French royal family to serve as the king of Spain.
This is related to the security of France's southern line, which is a non-negotiable iron line. Therefore, as long as we can hold on to this iron line tightly, Napoleon III's emotions will be easy to control.
Not only the mood of Napoleon III, but as long as we can carefully treat Spain like a wasp, we can also influence the mood of nationalists in France.
First of all, we can influence public opinion. As long as we show a very, very great interest in the Spanish throne, then some French national fanatics will naturally jump out to cause trouble for us. At that time, someone will put pressure on Napoleon III on our behalf. Force war to break out!
Secondly, let’s turn our attention to the Northern Front. Where is the core conflict zone on the Northern Front? In Bavaria, in Hesse, and in Darmstadt and other areas.
These areas are areas where French and German are mixed with each other. The ethnic composition is very complex and the ethnic structure is also very confusing. Therefore, both Germany and France have claims to its sovereignty. In fact, no matter which country these territories belong to, they can find their own basis in international law.
Napoleon III felt that since he remained neutral during the Austro-Prussian War, Prussia must cede these lands as a thank you gift. To be honest, his demands made sense in the eyes of many European kings.
But it is this kind of reasonable reason that is our best chance to win over South Germany. I think your respected Prime Minister, you have already begun to make arrangements.
The attitude of the small states in South Germany is very ambiguous. First, they did not want to be annexed by the French, and secondly, they did not want to be annexed by Prussia. These weak countries only think about one thing, and that is to always protect their own interests and remain independent forever.
But unfortunately, the world no longer gives them independent space, and they must make a choice under the threat of war.
When two powerful forces are fighting, they can only choose one side. They choose the lesser of the two evils, so who is the least serious one? Obviously it's our Prussia.
Because after all, the rulers of these areas belong to the same German cultural circle as Prussia, and are closer culturally and emotionally.
In this case, we can make a big fuss about the threat from France and let the king appropriately give up some interest chips to the heads of the states in South Germany so that they can ensure their interests after unification in the future.
I think under the dual influence of interests and national sentiments, the balance of the final war will definitely shift to Germany. These southern states will definitely not come together with the French.
We can now carry out these small actions in secret, to interfere with Spain and intervene in countries such as South Germany very covertly. Napoleon III will never be aware of it in the early stage. On the contrary, we have to give him some anesthetics to stabilize him. mood.
We can show our desire for peace on various occasions, and we can recognize our intimidation appropriately.
Only in this way can the rhythm of France's war preparations be disturbed. When most people in their country believe that the possibility of war is not high, those financial fans will not waste countless money on military preparations.
That is a country's loan shark. Isn't it better to have money to lend money and earn interest than to spend it on meaningless preparations for war?
Wait until this summer, when we are fully prepared, we will find the right time to expose the Spanish issue and the real situation in the northern border area of France, that is, in the southern German region.
By that time, the angry Napoleon III will definitely initiate a war. As long as he takes the initiative to declare war on us, everything will be under control.
Bismarck smiled very happily, "My old friend, your plan is completely consistent with mine, but I still have a little worry..."
"My analysis of Napoleon III's character should be fanatical, but there are still a group of very rational politicians in France. Even his Queen Eugenie was a very scheming woman. If they persuaded them at that time, What should I do if the crazy Emperor lives here?"
"Although the 62-year-old man is very fanatical, the ears of old men at this age are sometimes very soft, and their emotions are not stable. What if the pillow air duct blown by Queen Eugenie is used? What should we do? manage?"
"How to defeat those calm old foxes in French politics? Do you have a better way?"
Xiao Letian smiled faintly, "That won't happen. I'm sure that Napoleon III will definitely declare war... He will take the initiative to declare war on us regardless of anyone's dissuasion!"
"Because I still have a trump card that I haven't used yet!"
