"There is no need to solve this problem at all. Just let people who buy food in the city buy it locally. Besides, I don't believe that the merchants in Qingxu didn't discover this business opportunity. My price for the supply and marketing cooperative is 150, and I will never change it even if I die. But other merchants Sell it for eighty cents, I won't stop you." Chen Xi said nonchalantly, he only strangled Cai Mao's gang of Southeast Asian rogue grain merchants, not the normal grain merchants.
The price of seventy or eighty cents per stone is acceptable to Chen Xi. It is a relatively reasonable price. Coupled with the 150 cents per stone collected by Chen Xi's own treasury, the average selling price for ordinary people is about 115 to 120 cents. This The price is right.
This is why Chen Xi must strangle Cai Hao's gang of Southeast Asian rogue grain merchants. If these bastards also enter the grain market, the real grain price is likely to be driven down to 30 cents per stone.
If it really drops to this level, it will be fatal. This means that many of the things Chen Xi produces that are needed in rural areas and agriculture cannot be purchased by the agricultural population. Once this happens, it means that the current situation is still healthy. The circulation system was broken.
On the contrary, the current comprehensive grain price between 115 and 120 yuan in the market and the country is very suitable in Chen Xi's opinion, because the drop in grain prices is a sure sign of his spiritual talent, the improved seeds of cookies, and the science at the Agricultural College. Planting, Kuaiji Wang's lightning fertilizer, these are the basis for ensuring high yields, and grain prices will inevitably fall.
It’s just that after killing those gangsters like Cai Mao, the price of food on the market should have fallen to 70 cents. This price takes into account both the rural population’s access to subsistence materials from the land, the urban population, and The problem of feeding other non-agricultural populations. .
In fact, this level can be said to be the situation after government subsidies. Even if the pure grain output does not reach the level of working, it is still enough to eat and leave a small amount of expenses.
If the output of land alone is higher than that of working, how can Chen Xi be poor at scissors? There must be some gap in industrialization in order to absorb the agricultural population into the industrial system.
Of course, if the official subsidy of one hundred and fifty cents per stone is cancelled, the market is fully opened, and market competition is allowed, the price of food will be directly raised to the level of thirty or forty cents, causing agricultural people to quickly realize that they cannot lead a better life by farming. , coupled with industrialization, a dazzling array of new materials have appeared in front of the people, and the land output is completely unable to supply this consumption desire...
There is no way, a good life is in front of you, but it is completely impossible to achieve it by farming. It will inevitably force the agricultural population to turn to work, the industry will further expand, and then the price of output materials will further decrease, and finally a dynamic balance will be reached.
Theoretically, this is also a plan, but Chen Xi really can't do it to this extent. As a first-mover country, and as a country that cares about humanity, there is really no need to do this.
You must know that when the low grain prices hurt farmers for the first time in history, the Tang Dynasty, as a feudal dynasty, chose not to continue to open the market and let the price of grain fall. Instead, it chose the national tray and the government collected money. Forcibly raise food prices by 30%.
Yes, in a place like the feudal dynasty, where it was theoretically impossible for real incidents of low grain prices and harm to farmers to occur, it actually did happen.
In the twenty-fifth year of Kaiyuan of the Tang Dynasty, the price of grain in the Qilu area dropped to three cents per dou. Emperor Xuanzong of the Tang Dynasty officially lowered the price of grain to the level of three cents per dou. The people who farmed could only eat and had no money to buy anything else. Arrive at the court for discussion.
In fact, it is not true that we only eat and have no money to buy other things. To be precise, according to historical records, "The country is rich and abundant, and the price of a dou of rice is thirteen. A dou between Qing and Qi only costs three cents. A piece of silk costs two hundred cents." "The roads are lined with shops, with food and wine for travelers. There are post donkeys in the shops, and they can travel thousands of miles without carrying soldiers." In fact, the people who farm are not so miserable...
Although the price of 200 yen per piece of silk is indeed as low as the historical bottom line, the most expensive price of 13 yen per dou of rice is in Luoyang, the eastern capital. You can compare the price of grain with the price of other materials. What do farmers think?
As for the restaurants on the road, where food and wine are provided for passers-by, a dou of rice costs 3 Wen, while a dou of rice in the Tang Dynasty is equivalent to about 12.5 kilograms today. If you just take care of the rice, it will be a waste if you can't finish it anyway, and it is worthless to sell it. Hoarding it is not only It takes up space and will break down, so just think of it as making friends.
It was precisely because of the discovery of this situation that Emperor Xuanzong of the Tang Dynasty dropped the price of food to this level. The problem of food for the people was solved, and he had to pursue something else. The idea was moved to the court, and the solution was very simple and crude, which is the method Chen Xi is currently using. , the official collects grain directly.
Don't ask me whether I can finish the grain I collected. Anyway, the price of grain has dropped like this. We can't let the people only eat grain. We have to buy something else. Collect it. The official price will be raised to collect grain. First, according to the tens of millions level. Leave it to me to collect it, and then we’ll talk about it.
What is arrogance? This is arrogance.
Chen Xi's thinking logic is also the same - will I be worse than the official Tang Dynasty in the future?
The brainless Xuanzong could forcibly raise the price of food so that the people would have spare money, but I can't do it anymore? In order to avoid this situation in the future, I directly checked from the beginning what level of food prices would be able to allow the agricultural people to work hard and save almost 10,000 yuan without getting sick or anything.
"That means there is no problem." Liu Bei looked at Chen Xi and asked.
"No, this means that we can promote the processing of Yanzhou's agricultural and sideline products in Qingxu, because the people have surplus grain and money on hand, so they can create added value for the grain." Chen Xi said seriously, this is what he was waiting for.
These days, no, no, not just these days, even in future generations, the scale of the food industry is very few that can reach more than 10 trillion yuan.
The main reason is that the entry threshold for this thing is relatively low, the demand is large, and the universality is high. As for profit or not, it doesn't matter. Raising people is the most important.
“I don’t understand, I don’t even know whether the current price is good or bad. It’s completely beyond the scope of my understanding. I want to lower the price of food to a level that makes it cheaper and more convenient for people living in cities to buy it, but I also want to increase the price of food so that people can buy it more conveniently. Rural people make more money." Liu Bei was already in a state of confusion at this time, because he really couldn't understand this.
What's more important is that this thing is not one-size-fits-all. If the price of food is high, the urban population engaged in industry will have a problem eating. If the price of food is low, the consumption of local agricultural people will become a new problem. In short, it is all the same. question.
"Huh? It's hard to explain this thing clearly." Chen Xi was silent for a while.
The most immovable things in the world are food prices. Even if they rise or fall by a penny, many problems will arise. The related effects may even bring turbulence to the overall economy. Therefore, regarding food prices, Chen Xi started from the era of turmoil. , after one cut, consider yourself blind.
Because this is one of the few things that Chen Xi needs to go through a lot of calculation and research to use, it is better to just let it go and maintain a relatively healthy self-flow. As for being completely healthy, to be honest, Chen Xi doesn't even have a historical reference. nothing.
What is a completely healthy historical grain price? What kind of social system and humanistic care are the detailed regulations used for? These all need to be considered. Therefore, from the beginning, Chen Xi’s grain price is the result of a one-size-fits-all approach at the end of the turbulent era. .
Anyway, at that time, the era was already very bad. I, Chen Zichuan, took out a result with my fingers. Even if it was far from the result obtained by the best food price calculation formula of this era, it was definitely better than the strange food price that appeared before. .
This is also why grain is a semi-official and semi-market model, because Chen Xi doesn't know what kind of price he sets is suitable for this era. If it is too high, it will definitely not work. If it is too low, it will be exploitation. Although exploitation is the inevitable of the times, , but at least some humanistic care must be retained.
As a result, the grain price policy used by Chen Xi is close to the leveling warehouse of Sang Hongyang of the early Han Dynasty. The advantage of this policy is that as long as the country's money can keep up, it can absorb grain in good years and release grain in lean years, and the grain price can be maintained at the same level. A relatively healthy level.
Of course, the difference between Chen Xi and Sang Hongyang is that as long as their credibility can keep up, food prices will generally be considered healthy, but this refers to a normal situation.
The abnormal situation refers to the fact that Chen Xi's preset official grain prices are now considered dead, because the grain circulating in the market and the grain purchased by people from other channels are basically lower than Chen Xi's preset from various places. food prices.
Even if Sang Hongyang is faced with this situation where I collect grain for 150 Wen per stone and buy it in the market for 70 Wen, there is no good way, unless there is an official unlimited limit on food, but this is not realistic. Chen Xi does not collect food for hoarding. The purpose is to resist risks and create more profits.
The real price of grain in the market has reached this low level, and if the country still collects it like this, it can only be said to be an agricultural subsidy. If the grain collection is too large, it cannot be converted into profits, and the official subsidy cannot be maintained, and this is related to Things related to people's livelihood are things that must be maintained.
Valley is just like the pensions of later generations. Everyone thinks that pensions must collapse, but the indicators set by the government are that when the market operates, they cannot lose money no matter what.
This is completely inconsistent with the market economic system. Yes, not only is it completely inconsistent with the laws of the market economic system, but more importantly, this thing is really not a loss.
Even when the Chinese government controls 80% of the trillion-dollar pension fund, this thing can still grow year after year in the normal operation of the market economy.
In 2020, it produced an income of 15.84%. Even since entering the market, it has maintained an average annual growth rate of 8.51% every year...
Do you think this is an economic issue? Wrong. Fundamentally speaking, this is not an economic issue, but a real sociopolitical and social stability issue.
Similarly, regarding food prices, Chen Xi’s consideration from the beginning was not about price increases or price cuts.
Selling it at a low price in the market is your own business, but as long as the market price of grain is not higher than 150 Wen, the government will always collect half of the land output at 150 Wen. As for whether this policy is perfectly in line with the current best grain The price, Chen Xi could only say, is none of your business!
What Chen Xi wants is stability, and food prices will not be moved unless Chen Xi can come up with a more reasonable and correct price.
"Is it difficult to explain clearly?" Liu Bei nodded, and then acted like he was all ears. Chen Xi sighed when he saw this. It is rare for Liu Bei to be interested in Chen Xi's affairs. Generally, Liu Bei will ignore it after hearing the previous sentence. Let Chen Xi handle it.
"Okay, okay, let me explain. Mr. Xuande, you tell me your thoughts first." Chen Xi sighed and said. He knew that his food price was not the current optimal solution, but the best solution was It was too difficult to give a good solution, Chen Xi just gave a suitable solution.
"Why don't you fully liberalize the storage of the house?" Liu Bei directly asked the core point of the question, which is what Zhuge Liang thought Chen Xi would do.
Chen Xi thought for a while, wondering whether to explain the industrial structure that Liu Bei didn't understand, or to briefly explain the impact of food prices to Liu Bei. Liu Bei could understand the latter, so Chen Xi decided to choose the latter because the latter was not very brain-intensive. .
"Because all warehouses have been opened for storage, there will be no food worth 70 cents in the market. Farmers will sell all the grain that is not for their own use to the government for 150 cents, and all the low-priced grain currently circulating in the market will be gone." Chen Xi He explained very simply, and Liu Bei nodded.
"In other words, this kind of behavior will hurt the people who don't grow food. The people who don't farm should only account for 6%. You gave me this data." Liu Bei thought for a while and expressed his understanding, but then he thought Another thing.
"Does Xuande think that these 6% of unemployed people should spend more money?" Chen Xi smiled and said, despite the small number of people, this 6% of the population has also affected millions of people.
"No, what I mean is why not just collect the grain for 150 Wen and sell it to the people who need to sell it for 70 Wen?" Liu Bei directly asked a shocking question, "Zichuan shouldn't care about such a small amount of money. Bar."
"Let's stop for a moment." Chen Xi suddenly raised his hand and looked at Liu Bei and asked.
"What's wrong?" Liu Bei looked at Chen Xi doubtfully and asked.
"I'm a little confused about this matter." Chen Xi looked at Liu Bei calmly.
"What problem makes you feel puzzled?" Liu Bei asked with a smile.
"What do I look like in your eyes?" Chen Xi looked at Liu Bei suspiciously.
"Ahem, cough, cough." Liu Bei laughed twice, but when he saw Chen Xi staring at him, he stopped laughing and explained, "It's probably an internal matter. Everything can be solved, it depends on whether you want it or not."
"Do you know how much we will lose every year by providing these low-priced grains to only these 6% of people?" Chen Xi asked calmly.
Liu Bei shook his head, and Chen Xi said, "I roughly calculated that it will cost about 3 billion. Of course, the 3 billion is not a problem. The problem is that the people will sell unlimited grain. The official pays out 70 grains and collects 150 grains. This A price inversion would be fatal."
"Actually, let alone 3 billion, even 30 billion is no problem. Mr. Xuande, the actual cultivated land area of our Han Dynasty is 800 million acres. Taking into account issues such as rotational farming and the quality of the acres, after all, not all places are productive. For grain land, the annual yield per mu is calculated as 3 shi, and I spend about 150 billion yuan on harvesting grain every year." Chen Xi looked into the distance with a calm expression.
As for Liu Bei, he was already shocked at this time. It cost 150 billion to collect grain, and that was every year. How could this be possible? However, after Liu Bei did a little mathematical calculation, he knew that Chen Xi was not joking, but was real. It cost so much.
"I've never heard of you mentioning this money before, is this?" Liu Bei felt like he was shocked. He had never even heard of such a large sum of money.
"Because this money can only be used to collect grain, just like Mr. Wu An scatters money every day in Manxiang Tower. This money can only be used to collect grain. It can't be used in other ways." Chen Xi looked on. He said quietly.
Preliminary processing of grain, fine processing of grain, animal husbandry, grain and oil processing, grain starch, various non-staple foods, etc., like grain, these are the largest consumption areas, but these links require human resources, can place workers, and more importantly, can produce profit.
Chen Xi's annual investment of almost 150 billion depends entirely on the output of these things. After all, it is 150 billion in grain, of which 30 billion is used as reserve warehouses in various places, and grain worth 100 billion is used to produce various agricultural and sideline products.
After the upstream and downstream linkage is completed, goods worth approximately 160 billion can be produced, of which 140 billion will be used to purchase food for the coming year, and the remaining 20 billion will be used to pay wages, benefits, and all kinds of other things. , will be enough.
This is also the reason why Yanzhou Agricultural and Grain can extract billions by digging out a few spots, but Chen Xi can't even find it, because the plate is too big, and what about the profits of the food processing industry? Is it high or low? It's not low, but it can't hold a plate and it's super huge.
This is one of the very few super disks that can withstand more than 10 trillion yuan, and Chen Xi’s disk is only 150 billion. According to Chen Xi’s estimate, the current level of Han Dynasty can supposedly sustain a disk of 400 billion to 600 billion. Of course, Chen Xi does not have extravagant expectations. So high, half of Chen Xi was very satisfied with it.
Therefore, the food processing industry still has a lot of room for development. This is why Chen Xi dares to give 50 billion plates to major families in the second five years. If it can be developed for local towns and villages, major families can distribute 50 billion goods. Chen Xi You can get 100 billion...
This is also the reason why Chen Xi dares to collect grain at this price, because the food processing industry can convert 7788 of the received grain consumption into other urgently needed products.
"In other words, if we let them all go, at least 300 billion will be needed?" Liu Bei said with a twitching corner of his mouth, "And every year?"
"Yes." Chen Xi nodded, and then took advantage of Liu Bei's dizziness to continue speaking, "It is the minimum number, because this behavior is essentially an official grain price inversion, which will lead to new problems. , and what’s even worse is that emerging problems can lead to moral decay.”
