"Order, the radio station immediately resumes contact with Xuzhou!"
As soon as Meng Shaoyuan gave this order, everyone immediately became nervous.
Take action!
Finally got started.
A full hour.
No one understood what Meng Shaoyuan wanted to do.
But everyone knows that once Director Meng decides to take action, the offensive will inevitably be continuous!
"Let the Xuzhou side note that during this hour, they were extremely nervous, which was manifested in the constant wiping of sweat with a towel, drinking water very quickly, and smoking one cigarette after another, or... For those people who obviously still have half a cigarette in their hands but subconsciously go to get cigarettes, temporarily ask them to leave the yard and find another place for them to stay. What you need to pay special attention to when it comes to continuous smoking is to investigate whether they have done this before. old smoker."
"Are these all suspects?"
"No, these can temporarily rule out suspicion."
…
"What does Meng Shaoyuan mean by doing this? Is he trying to find the insider among these people?"
The eyes of Koichi Hahara and Yasuhide Ituchi fell on Kawamoto Kojiro at the same time.
"No, the method he used is exactly the opposite." Kawamoto Kojiro pondered for a while: "This is a hypothetical elimination method. Meng Shao originally set a benchmark for the suspect. He hypothetically initially sketched out The image of the suspect in his mind, since he was able to lurk and completed a very important task, then the suspect's psychological quality was excellent.
As soon as he came up, he told the thirty-five people that the spy was among them, and no one wanted to be suspected of being a spy, so most of them were nervous. And what about real spies? On the contrary, the more nervous he felt in his heart, the more he had to act as if nothing had happened. He was even calmer and calmer than before. "
"So, our people fell into Meng Shaoyuan's trap because of this?" Itauchi Yasuhide was worried.
"Yes." Kawamoto Kojiro nodded: "Calmness and strong psychological quality are the most basic survival conditions for an excellent spy. However, this was taken advantage of by Meng Shaoyuan. This spy, he did not know what he was facing. An extremely powerful and terrifying enemy, he even didn’t know that the person in charge of the trial was Meng Shaoyuan!”
How terrible.
Meng Shao was originally in Shanghai, but he commanded remotely and set a trap in Xuzhou!
Without even having to meet him, he had already begun to bring this traitor out of the water little by little!
…
A total of eighteen people have been temporarily ruled out as suspects.
There are seventeen left!
"urgent telegram!"
A telegram was delivered to Xue Sixu.
Xue Sixu looked at it carefully:
"The latest information from the Military Command Xuzhou Station is that from 7 to 8 pm on April 23, Japanese latent spies had a secret contact with their associates lurking in Xuzhou. I need you to tell me immediately what you did during this time!"
"I, I said!"
"I have evidence, I have evidence that I'm not a spy!"
Several people shouted out one after another.
…
"Meng Shaoyuan's telegram asked Xue Sixu to tell the remaining suspects that the latent spy was on the night of April 23..."
"Kawamoto-kun, what does this mean?"
As soon as Yasuei Itauchi asked, before Kojiro Kawamoto could answer, Koichi Hahara had already spoken: "Your Majesty General, do you remember what you were doing on April 23?"
"This..." Itauchi Yasuhide thought for a long time: "So many days have passed, and I really can't remember it for a while."
"Yes, so many days have passed, and I can't even remember it." Hanbara Koichi smiled bitterly: "But what about a latent spy? He lives in danger every day, and is always worried that he will be exposed. When another day is finally difficult, When he gets through it, he will reflect on what he did that day and whether there were any problems, so he will clearly remember what happened every day. He knows that he did not have any contact with any companions on April 23. Pass!"
"So……"
…
"He will remember that he did not interact with his own people at all on April 23." Meng Shaoyuan smiled lightly: "He can also clearly explain his movements on that day, and he is not worried that he will be exposed because of this incident. Do you know why I made them wait for an hour? In addition to observing their reactions, I have other motives!"
…
"By the way, I know why Meng Shaoyuan made them wait for an hour." Han Yuanguang said fiercely: "In addition to observing those nervous people, he also kept signaling to the Xuzhou side to get the so-called documents and intelligence. This was to convey A very strong message. In terms of military control, there are more and more clues.
Our latent spy was already in a state of high tension. After an hour of waiting, and with such strong hints from the other party, no matter how good his psychological quality was, he would still feel anxious. He not only has to fight against his own nervousness, but also has to be wary of his opponent's next move at any time. As time goes by, he will make errors in judgment! "
"No... I mean, there will be errors in judgment!" Kawamoto Kojiro's expression also changed: "American criminal psychology research has found that in many cases, when the suspect cannot get rid of the crime for a long time, if there is a If he had the opportunity to clear himself of suspicion, his first reaction was to seize this opportunity tightly.
In 1925, the police caught a suspect in a serial murder case in San Antonio, Texas, but there was no evidence to convict him. They invited female psychology expert Karen Horney to assist. Honey set up a plan and deliberately gave the suspect a chance to escape guilt. Sure enough, the suspect, who had an extremely strong psychological quality, quickly seized the opportunity after discovering it during the long interrogation process by the police.
As a result, Honey led the suspect step by step into the trap that had been set long ago. The method she adopted was to let you prove your innocence..."
…
"The suspect, let him prove his innocence." Meng Shaoyuan played with a pack of cigarettes in his hand: "When you interrogate him, you take the initiative to attack, and he will build a strong line of defense to protect himself. On the battlefield, when the attack encounters There will always be more trouble than a defensive battle. But what if we let him take the initiative to attack? Then the situation will be reversed.
The suspect will eagerly seize this opportunity and try his best to prove his innocence. In this process, he needs to use the second evidence to prove the first evidence, and the third evidence to prove the second evidence. Evidence follows evidence, lies within lies, he will be completely messed up, and he will expose himself! "
…
"This is the 'Karen Horney theory', let the suspect prove himself guilty!"
"Our sorrow is that we can only watch our people being exposed step by step." Habara Koichi sighed: "There is no way to remind him, knowing that he is heading towards a trap, but we don't even have the ability to pull him out! "
…
"Let those who cannot answer for the moment be temporarily relieved of suspicion."
Meng Shaoyuan issued a new order: "How many people took the initiative to report their movements?"
"Eleven!"
"After excluding those people who took the initiative to report, but when it was time to report, they thought about it for a long time before they remembered what they had done that day?"
"Six more."
"The suspect is most likely among these six people. Who can tell what he was doing that day just by opening his mouth?"
"Four. Chen Yishao, it was his birthday that day, and he invited a few people to drink together...Liang Zicheng was on duty that day. Their shifts were regular, so he remembered it very clearly...
Fu Binsheng was promoted that day and had a few drinks to celebrate in the officer's dormitory in the evening...Shi Desen, it was a bit funny. He had a little wife outside, but the eldest wife found out. The eldest wife caught him in bed that day. Many people know it. …”
"The key point of the hypothetical elimination method is that you must confirm that the hypothesis you set before is completely correct." Meng Shaoyuan looked at the four people:
"The mole is a cautious person and will not do anything that might expose him. The war on the front line in Xuzhou is so tense, and he invites others to drink on his birthday? That is to take advantage of the situation, and the mole will not do that. Chen Yishao's suspicion can be Excluded for now.
The same is true for Shi Desen. He raised a young wife and was caught raping her in bed. Even if he was deliberately acting, he would be distrusted by his superiors, which would be detrimental to his latent work. He can basically rule out suspicion.
The remaining two people? A person has a regular life and clearly remembers his/her scheduled shift time. When a person gets a promotion, he just celebrates by himself, and he can control himself very well. "
Hypothetical elimination method:
Regardless of whether it is right or wrong, under the benchmark of insiders that has been established, if all those who do not meet the conditions are eliminated, then what is left is the target to be found.
If it turns out that your benchmark is wrong in the end, then the goal set under the benchmark will no longer be suspect, and a new benchmark needs to be established.
Meng Shaoyuan had no suspicion: "Control Liang Zicheng and Fu Binsheng immediately!"
"How to find the real goal between the two of them?"
"You still haven't understood?" Meng Shaoyuan smiled: "The criminal needs a second piece of evidence to prove the first piece of evidence, but the second piece of evidence may put him to death!"
…
"Liang Zicheng, Fu Binsheng!"
"arrive!"
"According to our intelligence, in addition to meeting his companions on April 23, the spy also sent out a piece of information on April 26. The specific time was 3 p.m. What were you doing on that day? ?”
"This?" Fu Binsheng hesitated: "Let me think about it, let me think about it, I will definitely be able to remember it."
"Report to the commander!" Liang Zicheng replied loudly: "From 2 to 4 o'clock this afternoon, I have been in the office studying an intelligence sent from the front line. Many colleagues are with me!"
"Oh, really?" Xue Sixu smiled: "You remember it so clearly."
…
"It's over." Itauchi Yasuhide's face turned pale: "The spy we arranged is codenamed 'Kappa', and his Chinese name is Liang Zicheng!"
