Chapter 170 Three Questions

Style: Girl Author: Cui JiutangWords: 2223Update Time: 24/02/21 01:49:21
Box No. 01 has been opened and cannot be selected.

Therefore, Jiang Li's current replacement will automatically adjust the selected "Box No. 02" to "Box No. 03".

"Jiang Li, isn't this too risky? If box No. 03 is not available, you will regret it to death."

Liang Chen looked at Jiang Li slightly distressed.

Zhao Siyao was also very worried.

Jiang Li gave them a firm look, "Don't worry, it won't be wrong."

Above the tin box, a radio prompt came.

[Your final choice is Box No. 03. 】

[Now open the 03 box door for you——]

As soon as the broadcast finished, the door of box 03 clicked and opened in front of everyone.

Liang Chen was shocked when he saw a black zippered package inside.

"It really does! Wow! Isn't this a matter of luck?" Liang Chen was surprised.

Jiang Li smiled and said nothing.

This problem is not entirely a matter of luck.

This question is essentially a logical reasoning, so Jiang Li's "Eye of Truth" skill must be blocked by the Ghost Face Organization.

In this three-choice question, everyone’s solution is the same—

Players must use logical deduction to make wise "high-probability choices."

Two empty boxes and one solid box.

Each group of people has one chance to choose and one chance to change.

However, the Ghost Face Organization will always open the empty box among the remaining two boxes after "the player makes the first choice" and ask "Do you want to change the first choice?"

From the player's perspective, among the three boxes "Empty Box 1, Empty Box 2, and Real Box", the probability of each box being selected is one-third.

1. If empty box 1 is selected for the first time, the ghost face organization points out an empty box. After the player "changes his choice", the game is guaranteed to win.

2. If empty box 2 is selected for the first time, the ghost face organization points out an empty box. After the player "changes his choice", the game is guaranteed to win.

3. If a real box is selected for the first time, the ghost face organization points out an empty box. After the player "changes his choice", the game is lost.

Judging from the above three situations, if the player has the "change option" move, the winning chance accounts for "two-thirds", which is a high-probability event.

For the vast majority of players who do not have the "eye of truth", as long as they can make the above logical reasoning, they will definitely choose the "high probability event" with a greater chance of winning - replacement.

Perhaps in the current world, high probability events do not mean they will definitely happen.

But in a strange world, high-probability events "must happen", otherwise it is a dead end.

If the game itself is set to "low probability events," then the existence of this question will have no meaning.

The reason why Jiang Li discovered that the authenticity of the three notes had changed was not just because the Ghost Face Organization wanted to block Jiang Li's innate ability.

More importantly, this is the internal adjustment of the Ghost Face organization in the cabinet to ensure that high-probability events will definitely occur.

In the first selection, the player's probability of selecting the real box is indeed one-third.

However, with the support of subsequent conditions, there will be a certain probability difference between "replacement" and "no replacement".

This theory seems to go against most people's intuition. Jiang Li has been exposed to similar theories——

The famous "Three Questions" raised by the beautiful country.

The existence of the "three-door problem" caused huge controversy at the time.

Dr. Meiliguo finally used a computer model to conduct a Monte Carlo simulation experiment, and finally came to an accurate conclusion:

By replacing the choice made the first time, the player has a greater chance of winning.

And when the number of experiments is large enough, the probability of winning the game by "changing the choice" will gradually stabilize towards two-thirds.

It was precisely because of understanding the logic and experimental data that Jiang Li became more determined and should make the choice of "replacement".

In this question of the Ghost Face Organization, "Whether to be selected for the first time" no longer has any practical meaning.

Because the internal state of the box is changing at any time.

Ghost Face organized this question to give the vast majority of players a chance to "survive through thinking."

Instead of letting players make choices based on luck or cheats.

Box door No. 03 opens.

Jiang Li and the others quickly squatted next to Zhao Siyao's seat and took out the package from under her seat.

The zipper of the black package was unzipped.

Inside, three sets of pure white "heat-insulating protective suits" suddenly appeared in front of the three people.

Jiang Li, Liang Chen, and Zhao Siyao each took a set of protective clothing and quickly changed into it.

And just in the last few seconds when they finished putting on protective clothing, the radio prompts continued to play.

[Congratulations to cabin players No. 01, No. 08, No. 13, and No. 29 for successfully getting the heat-insulating protective clothing! 】

[The constant temperature of the iron cabin will increase to the second level within two minutes! 】

Outside the tin box, the roar of the flamethrower intensified.

The originally constant room temperature in the iron box also rose sharply, gradually reaching the second level.

If we talk about the first level of temperature, it makes people feel sweating all over, losing water in the body, and drying the mouth and tongue.

The second level of room temperature now makes everyone in the room feel like they have entered an oven.

Everyone is like fresh food being baked at high temperatures in an oven.

Jiang Li could vaguely hear the wailing from other cabin players outside the tin box.

There was even the sound of someone kicking the iron plate.

So far, Jiang Li has basically understood the meaning of the rule "It is prohibited to carry flammable and explosive personal items" in the Ferris Wheel Code.

In a high-temperature environment, the Ghost Face Organization does not want players to cause explosions and die.

What the Ghost Face Organization wants to see is the painful process of players struggling to survive and suffering in the high temperature.

Jiang Li raised his head and glanced at the surveillance camera.

That thing on the other side... is really cruel.

There is absolutely no mercy when it comes to treating hostages, or even humans.

Now the health points of Jiang Li and the other two people have stabilized to around 85.

Although the value is still falling, the rate of decline has slowed down a lot under the influence of the protective clothing.

Jiang Li rolled up his sleeves and looked at his watch, "Eleven minutes left."

"If you persist for another eleven minutes, you can successfully pass the level."

Liang Chen echoed, "That's great, I hope everything goes well!"

In the next few minutes, the second level of high temperature was maintained in the iron box, roasting everyone in the box.

The screams continued one after another, and the painful groans of passengers kept coming from the surrounding iron cars.

Perhaps for tourists who are not involved in the game, most of these screams are inaudible.

These cries will only turn into a ethereal sound, drifting into the ears of individual tourists and becoming a hallucinatory existence.

Just when Jiang Li and the others thought that the high temperature crisis had temporarily passed.

In the sealed iron box, a more serious problem... appeared.